RudyNYCSports MLB plays 4/25 to 5/1

RudyNYCSports MLB plays 4/25 to 5/1 Season: 13-11, +1.84 units -------------------------- [U]Monday's Play:[/U] [B]A’s/Angels UNDER 6.5 -105 (5Dimes) 1.5 units[/B] Yesterday Scioscia mixed up the lineup in an attempt to avoid the sweep by the Red Sox – that did not work! Today, what will he do??? Abreu, Hunter, Wells and Kendrick are a combined 4 for 37 vs. A’s starter, Gio Gonzalez. We do not need to wait on lineups as any lineup he musters up cannot give us the confidence to lay 148 with Weaver, yes, the best pitcher in the AL right now. Besides, the Angels are 3-8 in Weavers last 11 starts vs. Oakland. UNDER makes too much sense. We cannot see the A’s beating up on Weaver. You want more stats: The UNDER is 10-2-1 vs. the A’s, the UNDER is 34-11-7 in LAA’s last 52 and the UNDER is 34-14-4 in the last 52 in LA. This one goes UNDER as we will have another late night coming here on the east coast. NOTE: waiting on a west coast UNDER is opportune to tear apart the next day’s card. GL, Rudy

Yesterday: 1-0 +1.5 units Season: 14-11 +3.34 units ------------------------------- [U]Tuesday's Play:[/U] [B]CWS/NYY UNDER 10 -100 2.0 units[/B] Not much to say…oh yes we do! These are two of the oldest lineups in the majors and, with the exception of a few including Juan Pierre who runs in any direction he chooses, we see too many flat footed runners. Jeter is running like Frankenstein, Posada (not playing) runs like he has a stick you know where, Molina (catching tonight) has eaten one too many enchiladas, Teixeira runs like he is saving energy, AJ runs like he wants to win the next race (old racetrack expression!), Dunn who looks likes he is done, Quinton who never learned the running aspect of the game, Rios who got old overnight, Konerko who has never been known for his running prowess, and more. The Yanks have ten stolen bases and take out Pierre, the White Sox have ten SB’s. Good base running means more runs. If Nova gives us 5 innings of low scoring baseball before he puts himself on a bagel (Had to throw that in), we will have the UNDER. In summary, expect a similar “small ball” game to last night resulting in a low scoring game. GL, Rudy

Wednesday Matinee Play Yesterday: 1-0, +2.0 units Season: 15-11, +5.34 units -------------------------------- [U]Wednesday Matinee Play:[/U] [B]Braves -105 (5Dimes) 1.5 units[/B] Braves now 13-5 last 18 in SD…Hanson, in fine form, has pitched well against Padres…we really do not know why the world is enamored with Mat Latos…line should be Braves -125 GL, Rudy

Wednesday Night Play [U]Wednesday Night Play:[/U] [B]Red Sox -138 (5Dimes) 2.0 units[/B] Beckett this year: 2-1, 1.93 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, .138 BAA Beckett career vs. Orioles: 6-3, 3.53 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, .251 BAA Guthrie career vs. Red Sox: 1-7, .494 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, .293 BAA (.312 BAA vs. current lineup) O’s 2-12 in Guthrie’s last 14 starts vs. Boston Red Sox make amends for last night’s loss GL, Rudy

Friday Night Play Season Record: 16-12 +4.08 units -------------------------------- [U][B]Friday Night Under the Lights Play:[/B][/U] [B]Brewers/Astros OVER 7.5 -120 (5Dimes) 1.5 units[/B] There are times that relevant stats stare at one in the face and give you the answers one seeks and then there are times that one has to look beyond those stats in making a determination. Tonight we have the former. Last Sunday these two teams, with these two starters, hooked up in Milwaukee resulting in a total of 15 runs scored. Now the venue is Houston's Minute Maid Park where an average of 9+ runs a game are being scored. Getting back to these two pitchers and why so many runs were scored in that game last Sunday, the Astros current squad averages .326 against Marcum and the Brewers current squad averages an astounding .387against Myers. Furthermore, over the last ten days both teams have been hitting: Brewers - .296, Astros - .288. Each of these teams are 7-3 to the OVER in their respective last ten games. Also of note: the Astros' bullpen is spent and is last statistically in MLB (.509 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, .319 BAA). Consider playing the Brewers, too. This one sails OVER. GL, Rudy

Total moved from 7.5 to 8.0 @ 12:30 EST to 8.5 @ 3:30 EST...WOW I still think it goes OVER 8.5. Rudy

There are no official records on this site that I'm aware of and appreciate your analysis any time you post. Just an inquiry here and I'm only going back 3 plays but the Braves won you 1.5 units and the price was -105 but the Red Sox only lost you 2 units and their price is -138. I guess I would have expected you to lose 2.76 units on that play if you are winning 1.5 on the first play.

[QUOTE=Skeeter;42267]the Red Sox only lost you 2 units and their price is -138. I guess I would have expected you to lose 2.76 units on that play if you are winning 1.5 on the first play.[/QUOTE] This probably will not end well. Rinse. Repeat.

[QUOTE=Skeeter;42267]There are no official records on this site that I'm aware of and appreciate your analysis any time you post. Just an inquiry here and I'm only going back 3 plays but the Braves won you 1.5 units and the price was -105 but the Red Sox only lost you 2 units and their price is -138. I guess I would have expected you to lose 2.76 units on that play if you are winning 1.5 on the first play.[/QUOTE] Correct record should be +4.08, not 4.84

Doc, Stop stirring the pot. I will not be your punching bag. Get a life already. Have you contributed ANYTHING useful since your last negative thread directed towards me? Skeeter, Thank you for pointing out that error, a difference of .76 which was calculated in my haste while getting a posting out with a line which was off despite the losing result. Adjustment made. ...and thank you for being a gentleman about it, something others will never find a way to be. Rudy Thank you, Dude.