yankee experts in NY-do Yankees have a Chance vs Tigers-

yankee experts in NY-do Yankees have a Chance vs Tigers- do they have a chance or shud we load up on tigers ? thanks

Larry, I am not a Yankee "expert" nor a Yankee fan but I know this team pretty well for obvious reasons. All I can say is I'm bullish on the Tigers. Here are a few reasons why: - Short series and Yanks to face Verlander twice. - Yankees rotation behind CC is a mess. In fact, CC has not pitched that well having mastered a 3-3 record in ten starts since August 1. - Yanks do not have the better closer. - On the surface one would think the Yanks have the better lineup. However, Tigers averaged 6.65 runs per game in September while the Yanks averaged 4.82. You can factor out the mail-in lineups the last week or so but that would only lessen their 4.82 runs!!! Bottom line, Yankees often have trouble scoring runs. - Tigers have had the Yankees number in the post season. Send it in on the Detroits!!! Rudy

Thanks rudy I needed an east coast opinion !

I think I agree. The Yankees have to be a challenge even for Verlander so I don't expect hiim to shut them down. But what isn't as well recognized is how good the Tigers lineup is and I think CC and the later starters will yield to their hitters as well. The Tigers have really played about the best baseball you can play in the second half of the year and won when they had to and ran away with the division. They've added Betemit, Fister, Young, etc. to a team that I felt would likely win the division anyway. No doubt they can win this series and probably value bettors have to be looking to play them as things develop. Verlander is already probably the value play for tomorrow night. His team is hotter than the Yanks and he won 24 games and he could be the MVP of the league and you got him for +125.

Before any of these start, are there any clear overlays out there, game or series? Not sure if I'll get much of a reply, as we don't have too many baseball people on board here. It sounds like Tigers at ++ money would be playable, anything else?

It really looks right now----without any handicapping and I could only forced to make good bets on off numbers----I'd be betting the Yankees in the series. Pinnacle is -152, Cal Neva has -140 and if my lines odds system is accurate Sportsinteraction has them -125 for the series. I'll probably open my account and see if that number is accurate. The Neva can be opinionated so perhaps they're leaving their line low on the Yankees. I think I'm wrong that there is probably any huge value on the Tigers for the series. But I do think Verlander might be some value and I do see a little betting on him now. But overall I have to consider that the Tigers angle isn't really being missed by bettors. The best thing I heard this morning and I did forget was on Cowherd talking about their weak schedule and I think it is a valid point. The Tigers offense has had the opportunity to clobber some of their division opponents while the Yankees have had to face the Rays and even the Jays have a few solid starters. And the Yankees have always managed to hit Romero it seems. And they do hit Verlander well enough that although I like Detroit today we are talking CC here. Fister has been lights out but it will be the Yankees not the Twins or Indians this time. Scherzer consistenly has problems going deep in the games. If it is a high scoring series perhaps Valverde is as good or better than Mariano but the Yankees have the edge I think in the setup roles and Valverde's saves aren't coming against that Yankee order in the playoffs. The advantage might still be with the Yankees. I don't think there is an overlay. I think sharp bettors might be on the Yankees since they probably feel that the Yanks will get to Verlander and will win game #1. They'll tag everyone else and win the series. I have to admit even though it is partly my own Detroit is appearing to me that it is a square opinion. I might make that series bet but fiind situations I hope to bet Detroit during the series particularly on the runline. I don't see an overlay on Tex/TB. I think Tex has a fantastic team but the Rays starting pitching can be outstanding and I have more faith in it than the Rangers. But the Rangers have good enough hitting to stop good pitching in turning around the baseball analogy. Moore is a big wild card. If he has a good game and they even win today the Rangers will be facing Shields and Price and a Rays upset is more than just a small possibility. I'd be on the Rays if anything here in the series but only if I saw a good number. Not willing to bet my opinion here.

Thanks. If you have some NL thoughts, please let us know. I can remember (at the old site) when the Cubs were a 2-1 favorite in subsequent years against both the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. That was VALUE - going against the Cubs, that is. Nothing stands out like that here.