311/312 C.Mich @ Kent St This game has caught my eye today. C.Michigan opened -1.5, now today has been bet all Kent St to Kent St -1. A great match up here with two very bad teams. Kent St had an offensive explosion last week and scored 27 points, I think only 20 by the offense though. Bowling Green basically did everything they could to give that game to Kent St, and BG not very good either. Cent Mich should have the more productive offense in this game, I initially leaned Central Michigan.
The more intriguing aspect to me is to why Kent St would be hit this early. With this being a Friday ESPN game one would think any public action in this game would come on Central Michigan, maybe I am just not reading this right. I would think that if I liked Kent St in this spot, you could wait and maybe this goes up to +2 or even +3 by Friday. I do not know many "squares" who would bet on Kent St here; Central Michigan although not good this year has been good in the past where I would think they could get some attention. I thought this line was about right with Cent Mich being a slight favorite. If Kent St continues to get significant backing before Friday I would really be surprised. What am I missing about this game?
I know that also Central Michigan has been largely overvalued this year. Not sure what they are ATS, but I am sure it is not good. They failed to cover again against a bad Akron team even though they were up 20-0 in the second half. I guess they probably do not deserve to be a road favorite against anyone.
Kent St offense just so incredibly bad, averaging less than 1 offensive TD per game. Leading rusher has 321 yards with a 2.9 AVG. QB with twice as many picks as TDs and only a 25% 3rd down conversion rate. Even as bad as Central Mich is they convert on third down 38% and at least have something that resembles a passing game. Radcliff for Cent Mich has 2379 Yards passing, Kent St TOTAL offensive yards passing and rushing for all players 1583. Just very surprised this was bet early to a Kent St favorite.
