Bluehorseshoe 2012 NCAA Football Plays

Bluehorseshoe 2012 NCAA Football Plays College Football season is here. I am going to post some college football plays and write ups in this thread. For anyone new to this site, I am recreational player. I enjoy the action and like to post plays and write ups to get different perspectives and promote discussions on games. I posted NCAA football plays only through November of last year and my record was bad, I believe it was 49-63-1 before I finally called it quits after a 1-9 week and focused on college basketball. But that was then and the joy of a new season is here and I am a firm believer in being aggressive at the start of just about any season but especially the college side. All plays will be 1 unit plays based on laying 110 unless otherwise noted. Here we go. 136 Akron +24 Why not start the season taking a program that arguably could be the worst team over the last two years? Akron has won two games in two years and will have a significant talent gap with UCF, but I do think they can cover this at home kicking off college football season on a Thursday night. New coaching staff for the Zips; I do believe Terry Bowden and Chuck Amato will at least get this program in an improved direction and the new energy should help. For me though this play is as much of a play against UCF as it is on Akron. UCF returning many players from a team that did not win a road game last year. Furthermore of course is the uncertainty as to when the NCAA sanctions will take place as the appeals process plays out; I think this can only be a negative for the players and the coaches. UCF has been an overpriced team last year. I also perceive O’Leary to be a coach who implements an ultra-conservative offensive style that can really get the UCF offense bogged down at times. Big advantages here for UCF on the O-line with very good RB core, I think that is probably what will hurt the Zips the most but I think the Zips will be able to get just enough points to stay inside the number. More to come in the next couple of days, I am looking forward to the season.

138 E.Mich/Ball St UNDER 56 1138 1H UNDER 28.5 This game saw all the action coming in on the over until today. I was a little late getting the best number and even later to make this post but it is still a play. I think MAC conference games averaged about 95 points last year, and probably even more on Thursday nights, but if there was one team to at least consider playing under it was E. Michigan. Ron English focuses a big part of his philosophy on ball control and TOP. E. Michigan ran the ball 73.37% of all plays last year and was 24th nationally in TOP. The defense improved significantly in English’s first year as head coach and they were very good on third down only allowing conversions 30.77% of the time. The new kickoff rule will probably help the under this year, less balls run out of the end zone=less opportunity for the big return. Last year these two teams did combine for 64 points, but that was later in the year when the offenses were more in tune, in fact these two teams combined average in points per game is 45.3. Ball St has also improved with second year coach Lembo but they will be playing many freshman and sophomores at key positions. Being the first game of the year and I am sure we are going to see some high numbers in the weak defensive MAC, I love this under. I wish I would have posted when it was 59, but I actually thought it might go up a bit more. The fact that it is now coming down really makes me want to start off the year with a big play, but I won’t.

153 BOISE STATE +7.5 22005 BOISE STATE TOT PTS Over 20 -105

Here is what I am doing today. 163 NORTHWESTERN +1.5 165 MIAMI OHIO +25.5 169 TULSA Over 50.5 175 MIAMI FLORIDA -2.5 190 AUBURN +3 -120 191 HAWAII +42 193 MICHIGAN +14 199 TOLEDO +10.5 201 SAN DIEGO STATE +14.5 209 ARKANSAS STATE +37 218 SOUTH ALABAMA -6

adding 340 Purdue -20.5

356 Miss -20

Going against the move, yes Memphis is horrible. 352 Memphis -9

Update 136 Akron +24 L 138 E.Mich/Ball St UNDER 56 L 1138 1H UNDER 28.5 W 153 BOISE STATE +7.5 W 22005 BOISE STATE TOT PTS Over 20 -105 L 163 NORTHWESTERN +1.5 W 165 MIAMI OHIO +25.5 L 169 TULSA Over 50.5 W 175 MIAMI FLORIDA -2.5 W 190 AUBURN +3 -120 L 191 HAWAII +42 W 193 MICHIGAN +14 L 199 TOLEDO +10.5 W 201 SAN DIEGO STATE +14.5 W 209 ARKANSAS STATE +37 W 218 SOUTH ALABAMA -6 L 340 Purdue -20.5 W 356 Miss -20 W 352 Memphis -9 L 11-8

305 penn st + 8.5

315 ucf + 17