Hello to everyone, here are my plays ...

[QUOTE=ChemicalAT;54461] NC State +7.5 -- What the fuck. I've been burned by NC State a few times this season, but this is the prime time to play O'Brien (when he's a dog). This bet is mainly because some UNC lines this year have made me scratch my head, i.e. laying 7 at Miami. I think people may be forecasting some breakout performance that may or may not come. Home field and all, I just don't see UNC as even being the better team. But maybe playing their rival will bring out the best in them. Gonna grab the value and close my eyes. If there's a talent gap, it's in NC State's favor and if there's a coaching edge, that's also to the Pack.[/QUOTE] Thats about as tough a loss as it gets.

par for the course whenever i bet this fuckin team

Record: 15-7 Last week was pretty epic. Had nice money line tickets on both Georgia and Arizona in addition to big straight bets. Only loser was NC State, which was a beat that will go down in history. Part of the game, though. This week isn't as lucrative as last week, but there are some things we can do. West Virginia -6 1/2 -- I haven't been a fan of this TCU team at all this season. They are VERY susceptible against the pass and too banged up on offense to trade with good teams. Things looked like they may get better with Boykins at QB and making progress, but really I just think his early success was more because teams weren't used to him. Well, West Va. isn't going to be taken aback by the style of offense TCU is running or an athlete at QB. I expect a very strong effort out of the West Va. offense and TCU will stay with them for a while before losing contact, because even against a poor defense like West Va.'s, the Frogs aren't going to be able to trade points. Arizona +3 -- As many of you know, or should, I was looking to get heavily involved in this Arizona team and last week was the perfect spot. I really love the dynamic of a league seeing the Rich-Rod offense for the first time and not being able to handle it. Nobody really has. The 'Cats went up and down the field last week vs. USC. They did the same vs. Oregon, but could not finish drives. UCLA is not going to stop this team. The question will be whether Arizona's defense can stop UCLA. I think they can just enough to be in full control of this game. Arizona is the CLEAR second-best team in the PAC and they really are not that far off of Oregon at this point. Maybe that sounds crazy, but that's how I feel. I am a little worried about being on the road after an emotional win. It's not the best set up in the world, but I'm willing to roll the dice that the league's best QB running a fantastic scheme is going to be enough. Miss State +7 -- Tale of two vastly different results from last week yielding enormous value. Ask yourself what this line would have been BEFORE last week's results? Certainly not a touchdown. A&M is very good. They play solid defense and have a future star at QB. But beside the QB, they are short on play makers. Therefore, this is not the type of team you want to be laying a full TD with on the road against a defense that can cover WRs well and run around to a decent degree. I'm expecting a big bounce-back effort from MSU here. This is a tough home field for visiting teams and this game looks like a very even match up ... so getting 7 with a good home team gets us involved. Iowa State +11 -- Game means way more to the Clones than the Sooners. Oklahoma took its second loss of the season last week and I get the sense that all hope is lost. They won't fold per se, but they also won't be a house afire, especially in a road setting against a team that doesn't get their temperature up. Fact is, Oklahoma has been a paper tiger for several seasons. This season is even worse than past ones because there just isn't great skill talent on offense and the defense is only slightly above average. I-State is an up-and-coming program with a solid defense and a QB that can make things happen. This house will be rocking and I just don't see how Oklahoma goes and gets a margin after having its bubble burst. Ole Miss +14 -- My smallest play of the weekend, but a play nonetheless. Just going with the classic Georgia/Richt premise of great underdog/bad favorite. On the road after a huge win last week is not the situation you wanna be laying 14 in. Plus, although I won't return the money for last week's win on Georgia, I am not naive to the fact that the Dawgs certainly had their share of breaks and could never put Florida away. No breaks here, way less emotion and a home team that's played big in spots this season and you've got a pretty nice play.

if you had to play ML or ml parlays which ones would you pick out from those above?

Record: 15-12 Taking a pass this week. I just don't see anything and I'm still smarting after last week's 0-fer. I do see quite a few newsletters are on Syracuse, so maybe L'ville is worth a lite snack.

Record: 15-12 UCLA +3 1/2 -- There's been lots of talk this week about how this is the cheapest USC has been in this series price-wise. There's a reason for that. The Trojans have some great skill players, but that's about it. The offensive line is terrible, the QB is a statue, the defense is average at best and the head coach and defensive coordinator are among the worst you will find. I don't like comparative scoring, but use the Arizona games both of these teams played. Monte Kiffin cannot stop offenses like this and USC has not covered a road game this season. There's no reason to think they will here. UCLA is playing the much better ball and will play like a much bigger on the field than they are on the board ... which is a good thing if you bet them. Stanford +20 1/2 -- Oregon is very banged up on defense and the thing that the Ducks do best (run) is Stanford's defensive strength. And I think it's a legit strength for Stanford. Give me a team with a good run defense and a good run game itself + this kinda wood any day. This one should be dangerously close. Syracuse +5 1/2 -- I view last week's win over L'ville as a buy signal on Syracuse. Sure, out of the dome they're a different story, but Mizzou isn't to be trusted at all. Plus, the Tigers had a taxing game last week. This one should be real close and the points offered are very nice. Baylor +11 1/2 -- Real danger spot for K-State here. I like how the Wildcats had some adversity with a banged up Klein and some scheduling toughies, but passed with flying colors. They made it thru the storm, right? Wrong. This is one tall task. Baylor's offense is going to make this a very, very hectic game for K-State. And like Oregon, the closer BCS decision day looms, the more the pressure grows. The bigger the target, too. Like Oregon, I think K-State advances but it's not gonna be easy.

Good job. Pleasure to check the postings of someone who obviously knows what they're doing. I'll be seeing you again next week. I had bets on nearly every one of your picks only the other way. After reading your reasoning, I hedged some of them and saved money and I thank you.

Glad to help. I wouldn't recommend anybody ride my plays blind. Use them to help shape your own opinion. I follow the shit out of college and pro football, so I have a pretty good opinion. Hopefully it helps. Wait for bowl season, that's where I get my rocks off.

Nice calls on the Stanford and KState.

Boys! Good luck to you all the rest of the way. I can no longer be a part of this site because Fezzik's NFL is a total burial.