The mediocrity of Dr. Bob sports college football The doctor was the rage in the middle of the decade like a superstar fund manager at Janus Capital in tech run he was heralded as the man the books fear with significant winning records year after year. The lines zoomed along in the direction of his plays.
Right from the doctor's site, there is always that well documented 57% college football record (since 2004) followed with the confidence boosting line that "I've hit 57% and that is what you can expect going forward".
But we know it isn't what we can expect going forward. Fez I recall a solid bet or position that the doctor will struggle at 52% or was it even 51% I can't recall on this site and looks to be very accurate.
The doctor's last 4 years (and let me be clear that I think he's very legit in his record keeping and works very hard at this) show a record of 393-363 on a star basis . For this current season he's down. In his demonstration of how he counts starts on this record it just says if you win a 4 star and 2 2-star bets you will have won 8 stars and if you lose a 2 star and a 3 star you will have lost 5 stars. This doesn't include the amount one likely laid in juice assuming all of his plays are intended to be given out a current number at a book with -110 juice. Obviously bettors can improve their performance from this. But once I add in this "juice" he has a losing record over 4 years at college football and is losing so far this year. (If he's really up 30 units and has adjusted for this....well that is not great but it is 6 units a year and at least he wins and some of the acid of my comments probably shouldn't be here.)
At least he hasn't lost 2 years in a row. But the doctor needs to recognize and it is pretty significant the following:
The market flags his plays as 51%-54% plays not 57% plays----and I'll leave out the several 48% plays that are also flagged. If he really believes he will handicap at 57% going forward he needs a major upgrade in his work. I wouldn't expect the market to flag his plays at 57% but I would assume it would flag them at a solid 54%. That is the only way this gets better. He has subscribers betting this stuff and they still flag at far less than 54% in aggregate. That is concerning.
