Square Plays for 10/22 19-20 so far.
312 Indiana/Iowa UNDER 54.5
Indiana'a QB situation is a mess. Iowa just scored 41 against Northwestern, but they also had a 24 pt fourth quarter thanks to the ineffectiveness of Northwestern and some turnovers. Indiana struggles to score against anybody and they have given up a combined 100 over their last two games, signs would point to easy over. This early game stays under.
315 Illinois -4
This one feels real square to me and I can not understand the line move. Illinois loses to Ohio St in a defensive game for their first loss of the year and they get bet down from 6.5 pt fav to a 4 pt fav against a Purdue team that has not shown much this year. Purdue still playing the 2 QBs as far as I know, which I hate. This team is 3-3 but the 3 wins are Middle Tenn ST, Southeast Missouri St, and Minnesota. I know the exact same thing can be said for who Illinois has played, but they are 6-1 and have a play maker at the QB position. I like Illinois coming off the loss in this road game and think the QB could have a good day. Maybe I am missing an injury or something, but "those who know" thought 6.5 was too many. At -4 I really like this play. Illinois needs a win to have any chance at the Leaders conference in the Big Ten. This play screams square but I could make it my biggest play of the day of the day.
358 Minnesota +24
Minnesota is bad. They are 1-5 and have lost the last 2 games by a combined 58. Before that they lost to North Dakota St. Now I do not know much about North Dakota St maybe they are really good, but I doubt it. I am not sure who would want this team and the 24 pts. This one did get as high as 26, but has since been bet down so maybe I am on to something. Nebraska has been over valued all year. I think they are 1-5 ATS. I have no faith in the Nebraska QB, but he could run wild against this Minn team. This is an ESPN game, a chance for the Minnesota team to show something with a redeeming effort. Maybe a letdown for Nebraska probably not as fired up after playing Wisconsin and Ohio St. I don't know, this one could be ugly. Gonna take the 24 and close my eyes.
327 UNC +10.5
All Clemson does is cover. UNC coming off a loss to Miami and a un-impressive 14-7 win against Louisville. I think the public will be all over Clemson and this line is inflated.
318 Florida St -18
Love this position for Florida St. Coming off of three straight road games, they had 3 straight losses before they beat Duke last week. The season for them is already a disappointment and the bettors have forgotten about them. Now they are nearly a 3 TD favorite against a team that competed with mighty Clemson last week. We saw Maryland with the QB change battle with Clemson and the QB ran all over the field. I do not think that he will be able to do that on the road against a Florida St team that needs to win impressively. Florida St is getting healthier and they are angry. This team was a preseason top 5, over rated yes but they still do have the talent and players to bury a team like Maryland. Maryland is small on defense and they cant stop a water leak. This one gets ugly early.
314 Virginia -5
I think it would take a perfect game from NC St to come out with a win at Virginia. Like laying less than a TD.
329 N.Illinois -14
I think this 4-3 N. Illinois has lost some of the public attention from the bettors. The seem to give up points just as easily as they can score them. Laying 2 TD's on the road, a very square play; but this Buffalo team is not very good and N. Illinois seems to love running it up whenever they can.
354 Ok St/Mizz UNDER 70
Hoping for a slower start to this early game. Ok St defense does seem to give up yards in bunches, but hoping for a couple of drive ending TO's from each teams QB. This game should be close, I think that favors the under in this case.
323 Ark -16
I think this could be a situation of the Ole Miss coach losing his team. They just got embarrassed by Alabama while dealing with some suspensions. The suspended players are back I believe but they also lost 2 key defensive starters to injury. Arkansas is quietly one of the best offensive teams in the country and the defense should be more than capable of handling this poor Miss offense. I think we should see a focused effort from Ark here coming off the bye.
