Top Service Plays These games were released by various services and newsletters as some of their best bets.
They are not recommendations, just info on what the touts were on early in the week
and why the betting public may have been attracted to these plays. The line I quote is
not theirs (they rarely give lines with their plays), it's the current most reasonable line
available. These were all released Tuesday or earlier. Caveat Emptor.
Phil Steele/NorthCoast Sports
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324 Oklahoma -21 vs West Vir
-Cites a double revenge spot for OK. Game was 20 (and even less Sun/Mon)
for awhile so taking the worst of it now.
352 Auburn -10 vs Ark St (I took Ark St 13.5 at MGM on Thur)
-Former coach of Ark St now coaching Auburn is primary angle here.
Reading it made me want to look at the Ark St side but he thinks the
ex-coach with familiarity angle trumps all.
315 Houston -3 @ Temple
-Contrary to some of the other services, Phil likes Houston here.
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
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306 Mia Fla +3
-He cites 20 returning starters for Mia vs only 9 for Fla.
Fla on a 4-9 ATS run vs ACC and poor 1-6 SU record vs Hurricanes.
330 Air Force +10 vs Utah St
-A popular services play. They are citing several ATS runs that favor
Cadets. Some seem pretty contrived. Air Force has moved off of +10
at most spots.
340 Indiana -12.5 vs Navy
-Pointing to an overall team speed edge which is probably true. Navy
doesn't get the steady stream of DB quality speed players, as is the case
with all the service academies. That could mean more trouble vs pass-happy
teams then the more ground oriented types. With 19 returning starters and
fresh off a 70+ point outburst, you knew the public would be on them.
Navy won 31-30 last year when they were laying 3 at home.
362 W Kentucky +13.5 vs Tennessee
-Tenn won 42-0 last week vs Austin Peay. WK beat rival Kentucky.
Tenn plays Oregon next week so look ahead spot cited plus there
is his Stat-of-the-Week that says WK 23-4 ATS as a dog since 2010
including 12-0 ATS dog run and 8-0 ATS as dog off a win.
Sports Reporter
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316 Temple +3 vs Houston
-Waiting can't hurt here. Think the likelihood of getting +3.5
exists while game dropping to 2.5 much less probable.
344 BYU +7 vs Texas
-Ditto for this game. 7.5 more likely than 6.5.
354 Ball St -8 vs Army
-This is the type of game that touts get players in trouble with.
Ball St -7 was available but it's not anymore. Laying 8 and 8.5 now
(I see 9s popping up) can come back to bite them. They usually
grade these at the best available which means bettors may lose
but they may get a push on 7.
Winning Points
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374 UTEP -6.5 vs New Mex
-Line has run away from early week line of closer to a FG.
All the sheets seem to like this play.
359 Bowling Green -7 @ Kent
-The sheets all like this one as well. Pretty sure Winning Points
is one of the first out with their newsletter so it may be a case
of others reading and agreeing that the play sounds good.
Do know that RB for Kent is a monster and that he got hurt
last game. Without him, would have to agree that you can only
play BG here. Latest I read is that he no longer is wearing a walking
boot but has not practiced all week
