Alexander vs Urango and Darchinyan vs Guerrero While this seems like a step up in competition for Alexander, I don't really believe that it is. Urango is a one dimensional fight. He is basically a pressure fighter with above average power. He keeps coming and has never been KO'd. Urango's two good fights where against Ricky Hatton and Andre Berto. I discount Bailey as I think he's washed up. Hatton and Berto both won WIDE decisions against Urango.
Alexander really hasn't faced all that great of foes. His most recent win was against Witter. Witter is washed up and quit during the fight claiming an injury...
On paper, Alexander is the smoother and faster fighter and Urango is the stronger more experienced fighter.
The line is way out of wack. This should be a much closer fight in my opinion.
Yet.. I think that Alexander is something special and Urango isn't. I think that Alexander should show good movement and keep Urango from sitting down on his punches.
I bet this fight a long way back on one site and got Alexander -360. I did also bet it at -450.
The current line is -450 on Bodog and on 5 dimes.
Bet Alexander. 2 units.
Vic "Raging Bull" Darchinyan vs Rodrigo "Gatito" Guerrero
Darchinyan is a monster at this weight and while I know nothing of Guerrero other then he has very few fights, I think Darchinyan destroys him. (-1160 on 5 dimes way worse on others)
The over/under is 6.5 rounds. This fight should end quickly but I don't think it will. I've seen way to many of the guys just cover up trying to last in the fight. I could see this happening here.
On paper, it looks like Darchinyan should win in round 1 or 2 but the line doesn't reflect that. I'm just leaving it alone, a bit to much doubt.
So if you want a steep price bet Darchinyan, I think the odds should be -10000.