Arreola vs Abell (FNF 1/28) Normally I won't even think about a fight like this, but I thought I saw that this opened Arreola -3600. Likely I'm mistaken but the current line is -2600. Abell comes to the fight at his lightest in his pro career. Arreola is his usual fat self. Arreola looks like a boxer that retired 10 years ago and has been on the buffet circuit as usual.
Just for kicks, I put .10 on Abell at +1200. Arreola can be had and it helps that it is only a 10 round fight. Both of these guys are bombers with 80 percent KO rates or near to it. Both have been KO'd though Arreola didn't actually get KO'd, the fight was stopped because it was uncompetitive.
.10 units on Abell.
Arreola should win this fight clearly likely by KO/TKO but I think that Abell isn't just there for a pay day. He may just shock the world as unlikely as that should be.