Arreola vs. Quezada (8/13) On Espn2 tonight, Chris Arreola takes to the ring again. He's coming off another tough battle where he lost to Adamek. (we had that one right) Little need to break the fight down as Arreola is a huge favorite and should win this fight. (-1100)
What we might want to look at and we would be fading everyone is the Over/Under. The O/U is set at 6.5 rounds. The lined opened Under 6.5 rounds (bodog) at Even money. It is now sitting at -165.
Everyone thinks that Arreola will end this fight early. The strange thing is Quezada has only been knocked out once in his career and while his defense hasn't shown to be the best, he can take a punch. Arreola's power isn't Violent one punch KO power. He is heavy handed but it usually comes from more then one punch.
I'm going to wait until right before the fight, but I'm recommending fading everyone. Take the over. Arreola is as fat as usual and this is probably the biggest moment of Quezada's career. I think he can weather the storm for the first few rounds and hang on until later in the fight.
If you could straddle this fight with a Arreola KO and the over would be the best thing to do but I haven't seen that option.