[QUOTE=truushot;23530]Hopkins will win on points. Early line was -500/-600, The over 9.5 was a play but it opened/ I first saw it at -295. Why bother. Its now -450/-500. Arnaoutis is fading quickly. I just don't trust Hopkins enough to pay the long odds.
Saturday
Arslan vs. Herelius
Arslan was the better fighter, but watching some video and combining Arslan's age and lack of activity would lead me to Herelius. Herelius isn't fresh either and the fight is in Germany where the hometown guy usually gets the nod in tight fights. Herelius looked the way taller fighter. Even though the odds are nearly even, I'm just laying off the fight. Graham Houston picked Arslan to win if that is useful. I really don't know. I'd lean Herelius except all the things fighters can't control favor Herelius.[/QUOTE]
I didn't get to see the fight an may just blow it off, but Herelius won after rocking Arslan in the 11th. Arslan's corner threw in the towel after the 11th round. It seems that Arslan was in control until that point and Herelius was deducted a point in the 10th.
I don't do any betting of women's boxing but Mezner's closing line was -1800 and she lost. Terrible day for German boxing. Promotions last card with network, and both there fighters lost.
A lot of money went on Herelius in the last hours on Bodog line moved from -110 to -150 and Mezner moved from -1000 to -1800. May not take a ton of money to move those two lines though.
