Champions League Tuesday - Under 2.5 and 3 goals Arsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk -1.03 With so many teams in European Soccer, understanding the coaching tendencies of different clubs can really provide value outside of their raw statistics. Ukranian side Shakhtar Donetsk is tied with Arsenal on top of Champions League Group H with 6 points. This total opened up 3 weeks ago at 2.5 +1.08 and the money has come in on the over, based on speculation that Cesc Fabregas and Theo Walcott (two of Arsenal's injured stars) would be able to use the International break to return to full fitness.
This appears to be what has happened and I think the steam that has come in on this game is overlooking Shakhtar Donetsk's desire to earn a result from this affair at the Emirates. In the first two champions league matches, Shakhtar struggled to breach the defenses of Partisan Belgrade and was playing for a draw at Sporting Braga before a deluge of goals fell in their lap in the last 30 minutes.
The Ukranian champs will no doubt be playing a very conservative defense today and force Arsenal's passing game to spend an exhaustive amount of time trying to break them down. I think the dog is live here but think the most value, especially in light of the steam which has come on this game, is to play under 2.5 and 3 goals. I can see a 0-0 scoreline at half with only minimal shots on goal from either side.
This game is on Direct TV Channel 488 and begins at 11:45 AM...The game begins at 11:45 AM Pacific Time/ 2:45 PM Eastern...
Here are the lines at Pinnacle...
[url]https://www.pinnaclesports.com/League/Soccer/UEFA+CL/1/Lines.aspx[/url]
I also have a play on Real Madrid - AC Milan over 2.5 goals but got +1.05 on that. This price is now up to -1.32 so ALL the value has been lost from this 37 cent move...
