Fed Ex St. Jude Classic

Fed Ex St. Jude Classic Lee Westwood -125 vs. David Toms At the start of 2011 season this line would be -220, since then Toms has won, played well on certain tracks and he has a good record in this event at the TPC Southwind course to back him up. However, Westwood is still the No.#1 player in the World IMO. All he has done is win two tournaments and lost in a playoff via a bad break to Luke Donald in as many starts. When Toms is on, there has NEVER been a player on Tour that I have ever witnessed that can knock down the flag like this guy. Back to back 62's in his last tournament, how many players in the history of the game have done that? I walked 3 rounds in 2005 at La Costa watching a display of golf I am not familiar with when he won the WGC Matchplay event. However, we know he has taken a couple of weeks off enjoyed his win and celebrated with the LSU golf team and newly crowned Individual NCAA Champion John Peterson. (didn't ya'll catch this live on the internet last week? Dude? anyone?) I believe that Toms may use this week as a bit of a tune up for next week's U.S Open, but not the same case for the DEFENDING Champion of this event who is Lee Westwood, who came in early for media coverage and extra practice.

I missed it as I was out of the country. This price does seem cheap at 1st glance on Westwood, but I do not see him hitting 3 wood to keep it in the fairway this week with the MONSTER that is Congressional on deck next week. Lee is not the most accurate driver, and I feel he will be swinging his 1 wood alot this week in preparation for next week. Just my 2 cents. Good Luck

Lee is not as straight as Toms, but he IS one fine driver of the golf ball over the years, led Total Driving stat several times, no worries there and he brought his family over for this week and next, I expect big things.

Alf, I thought it was easier to bet against guys who are struggling? I'm sure I read that in a previous post. Toms is red hot! I guess Westwood is as well though. My gut was that Toms might be good value but also might be a trap. I could pass this or ignore it and go with my own opinion but I'll go with Westwood at a better price than Alf's release number and go with his.

Glad to hear you are reading my posts Skeeter! Yes, of course we are always looking to bet against guys that are struggling. I'm working on the U.S. Open for next week this week with about 90% of my time and only 10% on the Fed Ex. I looked at all the matchups and didn't find anything that really thought was a full unit play in the struggling department, but do like Westwood over Toms any day of the week and twice on Sunday......and if you put these two together in matchups Westwood would win 75% of the time, because Westwood is only playing in the US primarily in the biggest events, which is not the events that Toms shines in. AND if I could get Westwood over Toms next week, it would be a triple unit play, Congressional is playing very long.

Nice Six Stroke leading heading into tmrw. morning.

Easy Cruise Control W. Great job again Alf - nice run you are on the past few months.

Alf, Another weekend of not sweating out a golf match up. Unreal and much appreciated!!!!

This beats handicapping the NBA any time, and I've been trying to make cases for each and every NBA playoff game and have passed 99% of the time. We are ready for next week. The U.S. Open lines will come out early.

Great Job Alf. Soft lines in Golf and you do have spotted them time and time again..