Florida Derby

Florida Derby Any thoughts ?
id consider 'to honor and serve' (morn/l +400) at > +600 . unlikely to get there, though.
Do not see Flashpoint letting To Honor and Serve and Soldat coast on the front end in .47 and change, so give me a closer here, I like Dialed In with his second shot around two turns.
Gulfstream - Race 10 #7 Dialed In (2/1 ml) You probably remember we were on this horse in the Holy Bull, and i like him again in this spot. Got some valuable two-turn experience last time out, and ran pretty well imo in a race that he CLEARLY wasn't cranked up for, and just because he happened to lose @ 1/5 that day, it seems that a lot of people have lost faith in him. Short morning line, as you can see, but he should be a pretty solid price here with the 9/5 ml favorite (and impressive Fountain of Youth winner) Soldat taking a ton of money. There will also be some support for To Honor and Serve, Stay Thirsty, and perhaps even Flashpoint (whom we had in the Hutcheson you may recall). This is a very tough spot for Soldat, having drawn the rail again, but this time with To Honor and Serve (who figures to be very prominent early) drawn on his immediate outside, along with Flashpoint likely being gunned from the outer post. Seems likely to be pressed very hard if he goes for the early lead again, and if he doesn't, he could potentially get boxed in along the inside. In any case, the pace figures to be very quick for the distance, which should set it up beautifully for Dialed In, who incidentally is sitting at #17 on the graded earnings list and is unquestionably cranked pretty tight for this one. Figures to improve a good bit off his two-turn prep race (where conversely, he was asked to close into a dawdling pace), and could very well blow past the tiring leaders here just as he did in the Holy Bull. The only real question is whether Dialed In can be as effective around two turns as he is around one, but frankly he might not even need to be, the way the race sets up here. Anything close to the kick he showed in the Holy Bull would likely get it done here. Could very well leap back into the Derby picture in a big way, not that he ever really left it to begin with. Expecting a pretty strong run from this guy, in the neighborhood of 5/2 or 3/1.

im seeing it shape up a bit different. keep in mind that gulfstream has been a speed favoring track. i see t.h.a.s and soldat conceding the pace to flashpoint early. this gives flashpoint the ability to set reasonable fractions on the lead, leaving the end game to the better horses (soldat/thas) with thas being my choice (will only play 6/1 or better.. maybe a weak 5/1 on the tote). dialed in def with a chance, but dont see soldat/thas burning out with flashpoint bolting. always enjoy these big derby preps. gd luck
I think Soldat is more likely to take back than THAS. Just my opinion. Quite possible though that Flashpoint guns and those two let him go, as you say, with THAS getting the better spot as he kind of boxes Soldat down on the rail. Depends on whether Flashpoint gets clear, and by how much, i suppose. I do think the pace figures to be very strong however; i just don't see much way around that. Nobody is going to let Flashpoint coast along on an easy lead, and beyond that, i do think the post draw has forced Soldat's hand to a certain extent. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out on the racetrack.
nice call on dialed in-
Well done. I had $50 on each of the three longshots. Once number 2 was done, I thought I had it - just missed.
Dialed In wins @ $7.80