[QUOTE=truushot;39960]The circular logic of the posters was amazing. Um.. no records are kept.. but a few threads where deleted... so those records couldn't be kept... but who's keeping those records.. but I need those threads so records can be kept...
People baffle me.[/QUOTE]
Not so baffling.
At the risk of beating a dead horse and ignoring the fact that I may be taking my life in my hands, here's my understanding of events, at least as they apply to Fezzik. Fezzik and/or AC can feel free to correct this account.
1. Last year, no tracking records were kept. Fezzik claimed 55% win rate at football for 2009. He had some reason to think he did well, considering he won the Hilton! I don't blame him for such an off-the-cuff estimate. Several posters express some skepticism.
2. Around Dec, 2009, LVA comped Dreamer to go back and compile the record, turns out Fezzik hit around 48%.
3. Fezzik feels there were errors made and says he will check the record.
4. Sometime later, Dreamer is labelled a "Fezzik hater" and all the references to Fezzik's record were deleted. Several posters protesting the deletions were "decomped" (certainly the right of LVA).
So you can see the is a rather linear timeline. No official tracking records, then a backwards in time compilation, then deletion of said records. IMHO, the 2009 record issue was badly handled by LVA.
This year, Fezzik posted on EOG that he wished that I would track his record. I said I would if LVA comped an account for me. The end result was a small profit, with the proviso that any one NFL season is going to be a statistically small sample of picks. Most of the time for WA side and total bets, Fezzik's bets beat the "closing line" (I plan on posting this analysis if I ever get time to get to it)
There was still discussion and criticism of Fezzik here and on other forums. There were certainly some props and team totals that were limited to small wagers and not available everywhere, everyone acknowledges that. However, at a subscription $25 / month, a diligent reader/follower would have probably have made a small profit. OTOH, it is possible if a big bettor ignored the props and reg. season win total bets, he would have shown a loss. This is why I broke down the bets into many categories (also in response to a request by poster IcedTea).
OK, my own unsolicited recommendation: keep a tracking record based on lines available at the time. Every reader is on his own, of course, but this will provide a baseline for readers to judge their own results. There will always be some banter about WA or not WA but as long as [B]SOME reasonable standard [/B]is used, the baseline can be easily defended.
