I think Obama Just pretty much clinched, Bama -330 one fine bet.

I think Obama Just pretty much clinched, Bama -330 one fine bet. Romney looks to be throwing the game, Longest Yard Paul Crew STyle "47% of Americans are dependent on the Govt, view themselves as victims, and won't vote for me". Regardless of your opinion of the statement, it's political suicide. THIS THING IS OVER. Someone just said this thing was 14-13 at half, now it's 28-13 Obama. I agree. IN run -330 is SILLY GOOD with the better qb, and a 15 point lead.......

-330 is fine, but like I posted a few months ago, the electoral college math has been there all along. Only the national poll has been close. Still -330 is still free money.

That infomercial on Letterman last night didn't hurt either. Obama was the only guest, and it was nothing but good PR for the President. He said all the right things, and Dave wasn't even attempting to trip him up - not a complaint, just an observation. Unless the economic numbers go bad in a ridiculous way (thanks to Bernanke, they probably won't), or Obama screws up - yes, it's over.

Starting to think that 28-13 haltime lead for Obama is now 28-27 midway through the 3rd quarter...

Don't pay attention to the national poll. It doesn't mean anything. The first debate couldn't have gone worse for Obama, yet all it did was tighten swing state polling. And don't worry about the conspiracy theories regarding inaccurate polling. There is a ton of science behind it, and when an argument is logic vs. emotion, I will take the logical side every time.

Do you consider Intrade a sharp market? Currently has Romney at 38% or about +163.

are you kidding me?????? you are lost??? business cannot function with this clown and since pro gamblers dont have jobs and probably dont pay for health insurance and most likely they dont report all activities (odds are!!!) example: if you continue to lose at gambling that means your broke and have a fricken gambling problem (oh! and your not allowed to tax or print money) if government continues to go in debt and nobody borrows us more - we are broke as a country - now i understand gambling, but at what expense?

Not -330 any more. This will not be over until the last vote is cast.

Do talking points count as political discussion? It's probably just easier to ignore it. As a society we overreact to everything. Incumbents do poorly in first debates because they're rusty. His chances weren't as good as it seemed before the first debate, and they weren't as bad as it seemed afterward. This is in-game betting drawn out over months! I posted my own thread about this before. You can jump on both sides of this and end up with the juiciest of middles. There was a ton of Romney opportunities, and now it's time to get flat with Obama. This isn't about politics. It is about zigging where people zag, and people bet with their heart instead of their brain. I hope we decriminalize it in time for the 2016 election, because just imagine millions of Americans betting their money on their preferred candidate instead of the one with value. How do you win betting? By anticipating line movement. This is no different :)

Romney has a little momentum, but Obama still the favorite. Unfortunately for Romney, most people have already made us their mind. I believe 30% of the ballots will be cast BEFORE election day - a situation that clearly favors Obama.