i'm on Canada 2 units, -197, I'd be SHOCKED if they lose

i'm on Canada 2 units, -197, I'd be SHOCKED if they lose A lot of vig, but this game all of Canada is embracing. Win, and the Olympics are a success. Lose, and it is a disaster. Better team? Maybe. All the motivation. MASSIVE home field. I personally think the Refs will be sure not to have bad calls against us, eh? Go Hanson Bros. Go Ole School Hockey. The Booster Club is on it. Foil UP!

I thought about it, still may, now. I just can't see how this... Win, and the Olympics are a success. Lose, and it is a disaster. translates to anything that happens on the ice. assuming that the gold medal game alone is 'max' motivation. I guess beyond max= jitters, eh?

[QUOTE=hardrock;17830]I thought about it, still may, now. I just can't see how this... Win, and the Olympics are a success. Lose, and it is a disaster. translates to anything that happens on the ice. assuming that the gold medal game alone is 'max' motivation. I guess beyond max= jitters, eh?[/QUOTE] I agree- Canada has won Gold in Woman's hockey, Curling, and in a lot of the speed skating events, AND, as of right now, has tied the record for most gold medals won in an olympics. I don't think it's an "olympic" disaster if Canada gets the Silver. A hockey disaster- hell yeah

Boys, me & the partners just laid down one of the biggest plays of the year. Canada across the board. Good luck, mags

Should have bet this a few days ago. I've also placed a bunch of bets on Canada and Over. Hate going against the US, but Canada is clearly the better team and the odds are good.

Is this sudden death, or does it go to a shootout after 20 minutes?

I can't believe I was able to get Canada -130 between the 3rd period and OT.

[url]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwDvF0NtgdU&feature=player_embedded[/url]

[QUOTE=Fezzik;17828] Better team? Maybe. All the motivation. MASSIVE home field. I personally think the Refs will be sure not to have bad calls against us, eh? [/QUOTE] Irrespective of the results, and with the utmost respect to Fezzik, I hear folks talk about the motivation of teams quite a bit, but I have yet to hear anyone quantify it. This bothers me a great deal. So, even after the fact, I'll ask, how many cents is this particular MASSIVE home advantage worth? How many cents is the reffing situation worth? If you ask decent handicappers how much the average HFA in the NFL or NBA is worth, I think everyone will give you an answer within a fraction of a point of each other. If you ask the same group of handicappers how much a particular injury is worth, the variation will be wider, but I expect that most estimates will be within 25-30% of each other. If you ask handicappers to estimate the value of situational home field or motivations, I'm guessing the results would be all over the map. This should disturb serious handicappers. It certainly disturbs me. The bottom line is that I don't believe anyone knows how to quantify this. I've done a *lot* of work looking at home advantage in various sports, and I certainly don't know how much weight to give these situations. Consequently, I'm very leery of those folks who put a lot of weight on this in their handicapping. I'm happy to entertain other folks' thoughts on this, but, honestly, I'm not all that interested to hear from those people who don't have a mechanism for quantifying these effects. "It stands to reason" types of arguments don't interest me, and IMHO in sport betting, they turn out to be wrong much more often than they're right. So, anyone want to take a scientific stab at this?

Game 7 Finals teams win over and over and over, Baskets and Hockey Would love to see the stats on this.......I'm sure it shows a MASSIVE HFA, part of it has to be ref bias AND HFA.