Las Vegas Line Alerts

Wednesday Sept 4 313 Ok St -24.5 @ MGM books -Ok St as high as 27 now after opening 24.5 so this looks like a stale number as far as the early money goes. Only one out there. 322 Illinios +9 @ Coasts -This one has been all over the place since it opened. As high as 14 and as low as 7, it seems to have settled around 8. Some I have talked to think Cinci is overvalued after week 1 while the Cinci backers think very little of Illinois after giving up 34 vs S Illinois. 334 Virginia +23 Wynn -Have to think money comes on Oregon before the eventual buyback. Top 5 teams are just cover machines overall and the public will be on Oregon. Some handicappers will go for the cross-country, early start time angle and buy this back at 24 if it shows. Pinnacle and CRIS both at 21.5. 372 Wyoming -27 @ Treasure Island -One way action so far on this game after Wyoming showed up strong at Nebraska and looked real good on offense. This one may not snap back as it is tough to find much to like about Idaho. Mostly 28 out there now. 379 San Jose +27 @ Stratosphere -Some quality guys like SJ St here and even though they have a top 5 opponent in Stanford, they expect this line to drop. Might stop in Strat and see what they will take on this. You never know wth that place but this is close enough to market that t should not be a problem.

Thursday Sept 5 318 Ohio -3.5 @ Treasure Island -This line has moved from 6 to 4.5 and they are front-running what they expect to be more action on N Texas. Still 5.5 at Coast and MGM. 363 ULLaf +11.5 @ MGM -After losing at home to ND St the home team will be a bit cranky and looking to take it out on this opponent. 10s were disappearing but today the action has been on ULLAF. Also available at Jerry's.

Friday Sept 6 378 UNLV +12 @ Golden Nugget -Haven't won a game in ages on the road but UNLV 10-3 ATS getting points at home past few years. Deceptive final vs Minny due to some freebies given up on special teams. Last week UNLV more first downs than Minny 21-17 while AZ was out first downed by N AZ 15-14. Only 12 on board and game is mostly 10.5 offshore. 473 AZ Cards +5.5 @ MGM -I don't like Carson Palmer much although some think this is a major upgrade. Do believe this will settle at 4 so would grab it now if you like Cardinals. Game is mostly 4.5 elsewhere.

Sunday Sept 8 Tough to do these on game days because the lines are just moving too fast to assume the number will still be there if you go for it. Midweek they've been holding up just fine for the most part. Will try on NFL and see how it goes. 473 Arizona MLine +195 @ Wynn -Clean scalp vs sharper offshore books. Pinny has -183 on Rams and 5Dimes has -185. Line should gravitate down by kickoff. 482 1H SD +3 @ Aliante -Not sure this won't be the norm by tomorrow. Right now it's the only 3 flat out there. Steady Texans support last couple days. 460 1H UN 20 EV TB/NYJ @ MGM Pretty good line vs market. Mostly 19.5 -110 or a heavily juiced 20. UN 20 -110 available at Strat.

Tuesday Sept 10 220 NYG +6 @ Golden Nugget -Consensus is 5. Pinnacle looking for Denver bets with -5 +102 so the lean there says GMen right side. One of the more clear cases this week where those looking solely at last weeks game will be on Broncos. With backfield problems of Giants there should be plenty of pass attempts by Eli. Total of 55 reflects that. 6 turnovers and still in game final minutes is tough to do. 158 Illinois +10.5 @Treasure Island -Wash off a bye and looking good offensively. Illinois gave up 32 to S Ill then ran good defensively in a nice spot at home last week. Cincy QB went down with injury and that helped them hold Bearcats to 17 pts. Interested in OVER here when line opens if less than 60. 159 UCF +6 @ Wynn -Central Florida getting a lot of respect here after smashing two cupcakes. Less than a TD at Penn St is not something I'm interested in. Pinnacle has Penn St -5 -106. Gold Coast has 4.5 so support is there for road team. 213 NewOrl -3 @ MGMs -Bucs looked bad. Saints looked pretty good overall and surprisingly so on Def. Opened 3 and 3.5s now showing but I expect this to eventually drift back down to -3. Can see a shoot out developing here though. Not sold on Saints Def after sky-high emotional game to open season. Back to reality for Saints D more likely. Revis can only cover one receiver and that leaves Brees with a handful of others to chuck it to. Both games going UN last week should help keep the number within reason. Would still bet it sooner, rather than later.

Wednesday Sept 11, 108 Ark St -7 @ Treasure Island -This line is 8 most places with a few 7.5s here and there. Troy has been extremely efficient on offense. Passing the ball they are an amazing 47 of 51 for 92% comp pct! That very well may be a record for first 50 passes in a season. 184 N Mex St +7 @ Treasure Island -Dropping this morning. 6 and 5.5 becoming the norm. This is the only 7 out there. Doubt it lasts long.

Thursday Sept 12, 205 StL Rams +7 @ Golden Nugget -Try finding 7 flat offshore. You can't. CRIS has -6, most others 6.5. Rams in better shape physically than Falcons going in. 145 Miss +3 @ Treasure Island -Texas gutted by BYU on the ground last week. Only 3 in LV. None available offshore. 189 OV 57 Org St/Utah @ Jerrys -Pinnacle has 58. Same for everyplace offshore. It opened 57 so what play there has been has been to the Over. ADDING: 105 Tulane +7.5 @ Aliante, MGM, Caesars Got hit everywhere this morning that you could bet over computer. Suspect this will close 7. Wynn also shows 7.5 but don't trust it. They don't start taking bets until 9am.

Wednesday Sept 18 376 Syracuse -14 @ Wynn -A jump-off-the-page bet on Sunday as the opener of -10 got hammered right past two TDS. This -14 is the only one out there except for a juiced -14 at some PPHs. 368 Stanford -6.5 @ Treasure Island -Seriously good number as most places have 7.5. That one will be gone before lunch. I personally guarantee it. Pinnacle -7 -114. LVH -7.5 as is rest of Las Vegas. 355 Mich St +7 @ Coast, Caesars, MGMs -Listing this one because all indicators are that +7 will be long gone by weekend. NDame is struggling with the likes of Purdue. Always a big game for Sparty and two Ds that should keep score down and margin close. It's out there today at multiple spots but hunch is that it drops steadily this week.

Thursday Sept 19 301 UN 51 KC/Phi @ Jerrys / 1H UN 26.5 @ G Nugget -Confidence in Chip Kellys high volume offense is dropping by the hour. The play count is not where they hoped it would be. Chiefs have a lot of talent on D along with whatever familiarity Andy Reid and coaches have with Eagle players even with the new scheme. Line has been dropping and may settle at 49. 388 Indiana +2.5 @v Aliante / +120 MLine @ MGM Watching the movement it's pretty obvious that Indiana may close PK or better. Pinnacle is already there and CRIS jerked it to Ind -2 this morning and now has settled at Ind -1.5.

Friday Sept 20 396 OV 59.5 UTSA/UTEP @ MGM Mostly 61 and 61.5. Pinnacle has 61. 374 FAU +4.5 vs MTSU @ Aliante Game is 4 and dropping everywhere else. Sharp shops at 3.5. 334 GTech MLine -210 @ Treasure Island Clean scalp vs a few books. Pinnacle is -245 and I see several at -270. This is a popular play with a number of college guys I know, some calling it their best bet of the week. Pretty good deal on the very popular side this week.