Las Vegas Line Alerts

Wednesday Sept 25 107 MTSU +23 @ LVH -Playing at BYU for a team from Tennessee has to be a bit of a culture change. Don't know where Murfreesboro is exactly but pretty sure it is big departure from the norm in Mormon country. No distilleries within driving distance of Provo. BYU is in a sandwich spot having played Utah last week and getting Utah St next week. Don't think MTSU will score much here as their strength (rushing) plays into BYUs. Vs an underrated Memphis defense MTSU gained all of 60 yards on the ground. 175 Florida -11.5 @ Treasure Island -Like this one a lot. With most of the market at 13/13.5 this is a line that should be gone by lunch. The sharper shops are at 12/12.5 so may be a well-place front run line but I hear enough support out there for Gators that would take my chances that this line looks good at kickoff. 209 Arizona +3 @ MGM, HET, Jerrys, TI -Certain these will all be gone before long so listing a game where the line is available at number of shops. New TB QB Mike Glennon stands 6'7" but had less then impressive stats in preseason and will take some time to get in swing of things. This is also the usual series of events that takes place before a coach gets the ax. Losses. Grumblings from players, especially if the coach is the disciplinarian type. The media and fans getting on his case. Next thing that happens is he tries to make moves to take the heat off. Changes QBs. Sometimes an assistant gets the boot but in this case it sets up for a firing if they look bad and lose to the Cardinals. With the bye coming next week for the Bucs it makes as much sense as any to do it now because it sure seems that it will happen at some point.
Thursday Sept 26 104 VaTech/GTech OV 42.5 @ LVH -Charlie likes this play and bet it at 42. Line is now 43-44 at every book in town except this 42.5 at LVH. In the 1H Jerrys has the only 20.5 -110 and that is a good option as well. ***10:15am***Game just got hit to the UN by service releases so good lines now available on the OV. 41.5 @ LVH is best out there at the moment. 108 BYU -22 @ MGM -Playing Friday night vs MTSU, this game started moving yesterday. CRIS now at 24 and looks like the rest of the market may get there soon. BYU has covered 8 of last 9 games following a loss. 119/120 Toledo @ Ball St MLine -You can get +130 on 119 Toledo @ HET books and -130 on 120 Ball St @ Treasure Island. The money was pretty steady on Ball St this week but it has settled at 2.5/3 on the points. The +130 is somewhat less desirable based on the fact that Toledo +3 flat is also available.
Saturday Sept 28 167 Houston MLine -125 @ LVH -Scalpable vs MGM and some books offshore. Most books going with -140. On the point spread side Treasure Island offering +3 -120 on cover machine UTSA. 156 Notre Dame +4 @ Wynn -Oklahoma has a dismal record vs NDame and now laying 4. Supposed revenge spot after blowing game in OK last year. Mostly 3.5 available with a couple -3 -120. Offshore lowest appears to be -3 -115. 174 C Florida +7 @ Coast -I used this play in the Golden Nugget contest partly because you could see where the line was heading. Yesterday there were mostly 7s, now they are almost all gone. The spot is a real good one if you buy into the premise that when one team is absolutely more jazzed to be playing a game than their opponent that it is worth considering. Game kicks off 9am pacific.
Friday Oct 4 403 WVir/Baylor OV 68.5 @ Treasure Island -Game opened at 67 and now it's as high as 71 at LVH. Baylor home games have been scorefests in the 1H. Two games ago the score was 56-13 at the half vs Buffalo and last game it was 39-7 vs ULMonroe. Baylor is a poor mans Oregon at home and a tough team to make 1H lines for vs lesser competition. 493 Saskatchewan +3.5 @ Coasts -Game is a weak 3 with a couple -2.5s showing. SouthPoint has -2.5. Coast has the only +3.5. Everyone else in town is +3. 425 Saints +1 @ Wynn -The favorite is flipping on this one. Saints now the 1 pt fave offshore. LVH has New Orleans -1.5 and all moneylines are shifting to New Orleans side. Wynn waits for a bet so it's there until someone grabs it. I will be waiting until this peaks and then teasing the Bears somewhere.

Wednesday Oct 9 107 Arizona +7 @ LVH -No more Lane Kiffin to kick around at USC. Game opened 6 and took a little AZ money. Found a -5 on Monday but now the action has been slow and steady on USC. Looks like LVH expects it to eventually get to 7 so they front run the money here. 215 OV 40 Pit/NYJ @ Aliante -No front run line here. This is a stale number that is worth grabbing if out that way. Line is 41.5 at Pinn and most other places and looks like it's going higher. OV 40 is a real plum. **not long after posting the Pit/NYJ total it moved to 41 at Aliante. Now the 40.5 at Treasure Island is the best available. Everywhere else is 41 or higher with 42 starting to show offshore.