Luis Lazarte vs. Nerys Espinoza (9/4) Lazarte "El Mosquito" fight Espinoza in his backyard Saturday.
Lazarte is a heavily seasoned fighter, if not long in the tooth at 39. Lazarte is sitting at -875 in this fight and we can't make much betting him at those odds.
He's heavily favored because he is the better boxer by far.
Espinoza has a heavy KO rate though it is against a bunch of tomato cans.
I'm going to take a leap here and straddle it for protection.
All fighters that continue to fight late into their 30's end up losing and it usually is a suprise when it happens.
Espinoza is much taller and though he lost a wide UD took Solis the distance. Lazarte nickname probably gives a clue to his KO rate. (31%) 1 KO in his last 14 fights.
I can't see Lazarte winning by KO. He'll likely win by UD.
The bets.
.5 units Espinoza +575.
1.85 units OVER 8.5.
If Lazarte wins by decision as expected we'll win half a unit. If Espinoza wins we'll win even more.
GL
