Manny " Pac Man " Pacquiao vs. Joshua " Grand Master " Clottey This fight is kind of a replacement for the fight everyone wanted to see and a fight that I was 99 percent sure would never happen. Pacman vs Mayweather. It never made economical sense for the two to fight at this time. Pacman will make almost as much fighting Clottey as he would have fighting Mayweather and at a lot less risk.
That being said....
Pacquiao vs Clottey is the fight this weekend on HBO PPV.
It really just comes down to a few things in this fight. Foot speed and hand speed. Both of these categories are dominated by Pacquiao. Odds have gotten a bit long on this fight. If you can watch it, I would. It may be Pacquiao's last fight. (He wants to run for office in the Philippines and he certainly doesn't need the money.)
167 Pacquiao wins by KO or unanimous dec. -355
I bet Pacquiao to win the fight at -500.
I will bet Pacquiao to win the above prop as I really don't see Clottey winning this fight. Clottey has ONE KO in the last 6 years. He really is in over his head in this fight.
The above prop is basically the same as betting Pacquiao and only eliminates the Split Decision. Which isn't happening.
If you watched the Alexander vs Urango fight, this will probably look a lot like the same fight. In that fight I didn't think Alexander would win by KO, and that would surprise me if Pacquiao KO's Clottey.
So bet the prop
167 Pacquiao wins by KO or unanimous dec. -355 (5 dimes)
Soto vs Diaz HBO PPV
This is the undercard fight for the Pacquiao fight.
Soto is a bit long in the tooth even though he's only 29 years old. After a longish layoff and a bunch of cocaine, Diaz is making his second fight back since his TKO loss to Pacquiao June 08.
I actually caught Diaz's return fight at the UIC Pavillion in Chicago and he wasn't all that impressive against a really old Jesus Chavez. My sites don't have a line for this fight.
If you can get a reasonable line, I'd bet Soto.
If you can get Soto at -220 or less I'd bet it.