NFL GameDay notes SD @ Tenn -3
-Titans are at 238.5 ypg on Off. SD is at 401.
Tenn allows 323 ypg on D. SD allows 480.
Tenn may use more no-huddle this week.
SD banged up on offense (T Fluker OUT, WR Floyd OUT)
Cle @ MIN -7
-Browns will get some bets at +7 and big ones if it hits +7.5.
New faces at QB, RB and WR this week for Browns.
FB Felton still out for Vikes. Bold prediction - Browns out rush AP.
TB @ NE -7
-All kinds of turmoil in Tampa. Lot of points to lay for struggling Pats
offense who will most likely need one more week before Gronk returns.
Still have to side with Pats to win but the price is puffed up. Gun to head
would have to tease NE.
Hou @ Bal
-Hou 450 ypg on Off and allows 255 ypg on Def. Big discrepancy but
their 1H/2H splits are extreme as well. Balt feeling disrespected as
home dog plus have last years woodshed job at Hou to atone for.
StL @ Dall -3.5
-Line has been dropping. No one trusts Cowboys as fave at home.
Romo and Dez nursing injuries.
Ari @ NO -7
-Saints at home have won last 9 under coach Payton.
Cards skill players Mendenhall and Fitz both listed as questionable but
will play. Teasing Saints will be huge public play.
Det @ Wash +1
-Bush is out, Bell will fill-in but line keeps moving Lions way ON ROAD.
Circle the wagons time for Redskins. If they can't win vs this team, in this spot,
at this venue, then all hope is lost for season. I'm huge on Wash teasers today.
GB @ Cin +3
-Is 3 enough to draw action on Bengals?
Two highly regarded rookie backs in Lacy and Bernard both listed as
less than healthy. Bernard will play, Lacy most likely won't. Bernard
is the one with bigger upside and think he has big game today.
NYG @ Car +2
- Fave has shifted on this one. Car Def depleted due to inj. Giants
turning ball over at record pace. If they can avoid those they should
be fine. Some bad decisions coupled with some bad luck have led
them to 0-2. Car ineffective on Off has put them at 0-2. Total has
been bet up from 45 to 47.
Atl @ Mia -2.5
-Not the role Miami excels in. Dog on road they are money. Fave
at home they burn money. Falcon health is fueling most of the Fins
bets but Tannehill has some kind of shoulder issue and could be one
good shot away from a problem.
Ind @ SF -10
-All is not right in San Fran. Blasted at Sea and not 100% health wise.
V Davis and DB E Reid both have issues. Aldon Smith may have another
type of issue but he will play. Colts down on def with LB Angerer and
DB Landry both OUT. Total rising.
Jax @ Sea
-Teams getting 17 or more are 27-1 ATS. That still may not be convincing
enough for public to back these Jags. Can Jax score 10 in Sea?
Line on team total is 10.5. Sea has held 7 of last 9 visitors to 13 or less.
Buf @ NYJ -2.5
-Jets allowing 241 ypg on Def. A few extra days of prep for a Def that can
be tough on young QBs. Bills tore down the goalposts last week which often
means letdown the next game. Don't like this spot for Buff.
Chi @ Pit +2.5
-Dangerous spot for Bears. Pitt D is still formidable and at 0-2 will try
and step up and carry the load at home. Expect Ben to fling it a bunch
and he gets TE H Miller back who will probably get ball more than Drs
would advise. Teasing Steelers looks like a good way to end the day.