NHL Totals 3-18 Yesterday split plays going 2-2.
Record 4-3 +0.9 units
Was-NJ under 5 –118
Last 10 for Was has been under the total of 5 only 3 times with 2 over and the other 5 games at the total of 5. L10 for NJ has been under the total of 5 goals 6 times with only 1 over and 3 games at the total of 5. Both teams are under teams with overall records of 19-52-1 (Was) and 20-38-11 (NJ). Home and road records are 7-28-0 (Was away) and 11-19-5 (NJ home). All games for both teams combined (136 games), 56 games (41.2%) have been under 5 goals, 39 games (28.7%) over 5 goals and 41 right at 5 goals (30.1%). Everything points to the under.
However, Was hitting better on PP going 3 for 11 last 3 and 5 for 18 last 5 and have averaged 6 goals last 3. Last 6 head to head dating back to 11/4/2009, not a single game has the total been less than 5 with goals scored of 6, 5, 9, 5, 7, and 5. Three of the games were this season, all before Christmas.
Going with season trends and taking 5. Should have jumped earlier when it was -106. Thought about the under 1.5 first period but the 141 too pricey.
May be back later with more.