The Open Championship

The Open Championship Graeme McDowell -105 vs. Martin Kaymer G Mac had the lead last week and just did not make anything in the final round. This course from early reports has wider fairways than in the past and that may help Kaymer who is wilder off the tee, but the sight lines are difficult and Kaymer is still working on his golf swing. My next favorite quote for the week is:....every time Tiger Woods doesn't tee it up and Irishman wins a major.....= advantage G Mac? Nick Watney -125 vs. Phil Mickelson Watney hot, Mickelson not. Mickelson is in a bad pairing with Oosty and Kaymer, these guys will be all over this track. Read my Early Open observations for more on Mickelson. Matt Kuchar -105 vs. Steve Stricker Excellent matchup, two outstanding putters, but we'll side with Kuch here who played links golf last week, while Stricker played the friendly confines of no wind and Illinois at its best with perfect soft greens. A. Quiros vs B. Watson 7024. B. Watson +100 As we mentioned Quiros has a shoulder injury. But what I really like in this matchup is that Bubba despite all the length in the world, is hitting a decent percentage (60%) of fairways and when the course offers a wide open look as Royal St. Georges does, no trees, he can work the ball around the course as good as any in the game today. Quiros hits primarily a straight ball with a bit of a cut, but is erratic all the time. Can't see him making the cut here. Nicolas Colsaerts -120 vs. Thomas Aiken I watched plenty of the Scottish Open, all three rounds on the Golf Channel in fact, (shortened to 54 holes). Colsaerts is an impressive player, hits the ball a mile, putts very well and has a win and four Top 10's on the Euro circuit. He fired three consistent rounds of 69, 66 and 67 while Aiken missed the cut with a 72 and 75. No brainer.
McDowell is even at The Greek.
Wind looks like it will be a big factor in Round 1: [url]https://espn.go.com/golf/britishopen11/story/_/id/6764892/2011-british-open-officials-move-tees-account-high-winds[/url]
The weather could be the big story for this event, and it is impossible to predict. On the radio show last night, I mentioned the 3 best bad weather players in the field in order:.....Tom Watson, Padraig Harrington and Sergio. I have now made a future bet on Tom Watson to win at 320-1.

Alf - with your comments regarding the bad weather play, unpredictability of the British Open, and crazy past results, ie Ben Curtis. What would say is a decent number to get for a play on The Field to win the Tourney?
Any thoughts on winning score 274.5 or low rd 64.5 with the bad weather?
Pinny at 276.5
276.5 is now the popular number which is -3.5 under par, but the problem is you are basically betting on the weather, if the current forecast does blow 15-30 every day and rain sideways, I'd lean Over, but can't rely/bet on the weather too often. .....pass.
THURSDAY – ROUND 1 Time (local) Forecast Wind Wind gusts Temperature Precipitation? 6 a.m. Partial Cloudy 21 mph 30 mph 54 degrees none 9 a.m. Partial Cloudy 20 mph 23 mph 57 degrees yes Noon Partial Cloudy 21 mph 24 mph 60 degrees yes 3 p.m. Partial Cloudy 16 mph 21 mph 62 degrees yes 6 p.m. Sunny 10 mph 19 mph 60 degrees none FRIDAY – ROUND 2 Time (local) Forecast Wind Wind gusts Temperature Precipitation? 6 a.m. Sunny 11 mph 18 mph 57 degrees none 9 a.m. Sunny 11 mph 17 mph 60 degrees none Noon Sunny 14 mph 22 mph 63 degrees none 3 p.m. Sunny 19 mph 26 mph 64 degrees none 6 p.m. Cloudy 17 mph 24 mph 63 degrees none SATURDAY – ROUND 3 Time (local) Forecast Wind Wind gusts Temperature Precipitation? 6 a.m. Cloudy 18 mph 34 mph 57 degrees yes 9 a.m. Cloudy 23 mph 28 mph 62 degrees none Noon Cloudy 26 mph 31 mph 67 degrees none 3 p.m. Cloudy 25 mph 28 mph 69 degrees yes 6 p.m. Partial Cloudy 25 mph 30 mph 67 degrees yes SUNDAY – ROUND 4 Time (local) Forecast Wind Wind gusts Temperature Precipitation? 6 a.m. Partial Cloudy 23mph 36 mph 57 degrees none 9 a.m. Partial Cloudy 23 mph 32 mph 60 degrees none Noon Cloudy 27 mph 31 mph 63 degrees none 3 p.m. Cloudy 27 mph 31 mph 64 degrees none 6 p.m. Partial Cloudy 28 mph 32 mph 63 degrees none
[B]TOURNEY MATCHUPS[/B] 7008) Nicky Watney -124 over Tits Mickelson, 0.75% 7009) Matthew Kuchar -113 over Pitch and Putt Stricker, 1% 7014) Hunter "oh oh" Mahan -102 over Dusty "it ain't a sandtrap" Johnson, 0.75% 7021) Henry Stenson +121 over Ross Fishbone, 0.75% 7052) The Grey Goose +121 over Stricker, 1% 7055) "Manny" Mannasero +113 over Chucky 3 stix, 0.75% 7064) "Aussie aussie aussie" Ogilvy +119 over G Bomber Woodland, 1%. Good Luck