Senators/Sabres tonight

Senators/Sabres tonight Not really finding any flag that Ottawa a good play tonight but have bet it at +1.5-151. Buffalo is -200 favourite over Ottawa. (1) Ottawa has won 2 in a row doesn't have much of a lineup but trade for Craig Anderson has given them some goaltending. I think playing without pressure helps as management has clearly indicated they don't expect much from this group. (2) Buffalo just doesn't deserve to be a big favourite against anyone. They aren't playing well although did take on a new owner this week and are able to still qualify for playoffs. I don't put a lot into it but Ottawa has done well in Buffalo over the years. I think Buffalo to win this is perhaps a little more than 60% and I'll try the close game angle with a goalie playing well.
Any idea how many games have an empty netter?? I dont bet much hockey but it seems every time I do the empty netter bites me in the ass.
My quick answer would be once Ottawa was down 3-2 with 90 seconds to play I would expect we might win a puck line bet on Ottawa at least 60% of the time and perhaps closer to 65% of the time. I do expect to lose by an EN goal by Buffalo at least 35% of the time. I would also like to hear comments on this issue. There is an EN goal scored in roughly 20% of the games maybe not quite that high. I think 175 EN scored and over 900 games played so far this year. If you were wondering "What are my chances of getting beat by a Buffalo EN goal and losing my Ottawa puck line bet?" before the game started I would roughly say 12%. Yeah, they are bothersome to lose on the EN. I don't bet -1.5 so I can tell you an EN goal has never helped my results that is for sure. OT is my friend.