Services/People that give picks

Services/People that give picks at multiple units for most every pick. How do you rate or analysis services or people that offer picks but the picks are 90 percent of the time touting picks at multiple units? If a service/person doesn't often give out 1 unit picks wouldn't then their 2 unit picks really be 1 unit picks? It seems deceptive to me. Am I way off base? Please tell me what you think, most of you are far more knowledgeable about betting strategies that I am. Thanks

I dont have a lot of experience with services but having known a few people that have operated them I can tell you that most ALL of them are not so much pick services as marketing firms. Seems in this forum, Tru being one, there are some legitimate guys doing their best to provide real analysis and handicapping. It really is RIDICULOUS when there are 500 star plays and other such nonsense. No serious gambler would be betting a 500 unit play so 1 unit becomes irrelavent. My 2 cents. Good thread.

[QUOTE=bkeiller;22012]I dont have a lot of experience with services but having known a few people that have operated them I can tell you that most ALL of them are not so much pick services as marketing firms. Seems in this forum, Tru being one, there are some legitimate guys doing their best to provide real analysis and handicapping. It really is RIDICULOUS when there are 500 star plays and other such nonsense. No serious gambler would be betting a 500 unit play so 1 unit becomes irrelavent. My 2 cents. Good thread.[/QUOTE] I had a lot on Mayweather.. but I digress. Even on this board there are people giving picks and some of them are almost always 1 unit plays but others vary their amounts. Some seem to have multiple unit plays on most every play. What I was getting at was... If you almost always give out 2 units plays shouldn't that be your 1 unit play? How can every game/event be a 2 or 3 unit play? I also wonder then about their relationship of units bet to units won or if that is even important.

An observer's opinion: The majority of someone's plays should be one unit. The strongest play should be three or four units, and they should occur less than 5% of the time. That's just proper bankroll management. I see people stray from this philosophy for two reasons: 1) marketing and 2) it's really hard to be disciplined and bet one unit most of the time. An interesting offshoot of this: Perhaps some people really mean "percent of bankroll" when they say "unit." For me, my bankroll is 50 units, meaning I bet 2% on one-unit plays. About 80% of my plays are as such. 15% are 2 units, and 5% are 3 units. I can count on one hand my 4- and 5-unit plays.