Soccer for 1/11/2013

Soccer for 1/11/2013 I have three picks for this weekends EPL games: Chelsea Stoke OVER 2.5@+110 Really soft line, it's upside down Liverpool Man U OVER 3 @ -110 Man U alone will cover the line and Liverpool is also a great scorer Man City Arsenal OVER 2.5 @ -135 I can't believe this line. Any way I run my numbers this game is falling on 4. Arsenal alone will cover the line You may consider playing these picks in a parlay. My numbers show a 35% probability of all winning, which is usually more than enough to overcome the juice in a parlay. Check your local payouts

Thanks, let's get these.

[QUOTE=themarty;56131]Thanks, let's get these.[/QUOTE] From your mouth to God's ears, my friend! I'm confident in the math on these, ALL of them have a better than 0.6 probability of winning (which is why the parlay is a live dog). The Arsenal line is the softest by far, I put a .81 probability on that one.

[B]WINNER WINNER [/B]on the Chelsea pick. The line was upside down from the beginning. The parlay is still alive too :)

I went 1-1-1 on these picks and lost the parlay. I was very surprised by the Arsenal score since that was my game with the highest probability of going over the line.