Thursday Total

Thursday Total I played TB/Wash over 6.5 (-110) There are numerous technical and fundamental reasons to support this play.This season has witnessed 10 games with a posted total of 6.5. To date, the "over" is a perfect 10-0 against this number.Last night, Ovechkin and crew looked a little bit rusty in their 3-1 win versus Olympic MVP goalie, Miller.Normally, the Caps respond with a strong offensive showing when playing with no rest as the "over" is 7-1 when facing this scheduling dynamic.Washington is the NHL's highest scoring team and average 4.1 g.p.g. on home ice.They also lead the league in power play goals and power play percentage ( an impressive 25.4%).Last night's "under 6.0" versus Buffalo broke a streak of 6 consecutive "overs" for the Caps. Smith is scheduled to be in goal for Tampa tonight. He will not be competing with Miller for Vezina trophy consideration.The Lightning are still in contention for one of the last playoff positions. They recently realized that their only chance to win games is to get into high scoring contests. They don't have the goaltending or shut-down defensemen to win tight checking matchups.They have some firepower with last year's #1 draft pick,Stamkos living up to expectations this season.Martin St. Louis is a consistent scorer and Vinny Lecavlier ( having a down season) has been a perennial all-star.Tampa has now played 4 consecutive "overs" and has allowed 22 goals in these 4 contests.The lamp has been lit 34 times in these last 4 games.The Lighning ranks second in the NHL in power play chances.The "over" has cashed in 8 of the last 12 Tampa road tilts. Finally, the series has witnessed the "over" cashing in 9 of the last 12 games played on Washington's home ice. This game will be featured on the NHL network.Many times, the refs will give the stars a chance to shine when the a game is given national exposure(i.e call the game closely and don't allow holding or interference).Given the fundamental matchups and technical support, I believe that the over 6.5 is worth a single unit bet. Good luck, charliej

[QUOTE=charliej;18011]I played TB/Wash over 6.5 (-110) There are numerous technical and fundamental reasons to support this play.This season has witnessed 10 games with a posted total of 6.5. To date, the "over" is a perfect 10-0 against this number.Last night, Ovechkin and crew looked a little bit rusty in their 3-1 win versus Olympic MVP goalie, Miller.Normally, the Caps respond with a strong offensive showing when playing with no rest as the "over" is 7-1 when facing this scheduling dynamic.Washington is the NHL's highest scoring team and average 4.1 g.p.g. on home ice.They also lead the league in power play goals and power play percentage ( an impressive 25.4%).Last night's "under 6.0" versus Buffalo broke a streak of 6 consecutive "overs" for the Caps. Smith is scheduled to be in goal for Tampa tonight. He will not be competing with Miller for Vezina trophy consideration.The Lightning are still in contention for one of the last playoff positions. They recently realized that their only chance to win games is to get into high scoring contests. They don't have the goaltending or shut-down defensemen to win tight checking matchups.They have some firepower with last year's #1 draft pick,Stamkos living up to expectations this season.Martin St. Louis is a consistent scorer and Vinny Lecavlier ( having a down season) has been a perennial all-star.Tampa has now played 4 consecutive "overs" and has allowed 22 goals in these 4 contests.The lamp has been lit 34 times in these last 4 games.The Lighning ranks second in the NHL in power play chances.The "over" has cashed in 8 of the last 12 Tampa road tilts. Finally, the series has witnessed the "over" cashing in 9 of the last 12 games played on Washington's home ice. This game will be featured on the NHL network.Many times, the refs will give the stars a chance to shine when the a game is given national exposure(i.e call the game closely and don't allow holding or interference).Given the fundamental matchups and technical support, I believe that the over 6.5 is worth a single unit bet. Good luck, charliej[/QUOTE] Charlie as an NHL novice...when you bet these are you betting them as OT included or not included? Thanks

Burger: I bet with overtime included. Obviously, we would like both teams to score 3 goals in regulation so we don't have to sweat the outcome. charliej

Thanks so much

i bet the same at the same number and glad to see you are on it, too! good luck. edit: or should say, glad to find you were the market influence.

3-2 early 2P and TB had a 5 on 3 penalty advantage to tie but didn't capitilize..... Headed to the 3rd and we need 1 goal by TB or 2 by Wash. Good Luck

hey- where's my smiley choice for the 2 happy faces toasting a beer??

Congrats on the winner, Charlie!! Good job and continued success, Paul

Nice one congrats

Awesome Job once again Charlie.... Thanks :)