Tournament Matchups Farmers Insurance Open

Tournament Matchups Farmers Insurance Open Well, the rain moved up to Las Vegas and sunny skies in San Diego made for a wonderful Wed afternoon to scout out the field at Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open. First off, with the heavy rain last week and more on Tuesday has made this track play as long if not longer than ever before. If they use the U.S. Open tees from 2008, I doubt more than a handful could break par. However, the rough has been cut down to one inch in spots and is not penal. We saw Phil Mickelson up close and personal. He hit two crooked drives and missed some easy putts. He does not seem sharp, rusty and his swing is crossing the line at the top, but I will not go against him here at his home course. I don't think he'll win. Perhaps with a tune-up, next week at Riviera, he might be a look ahead bet, as he defends that title the Northern Trust Open. So, what kind of player should fare well this week? Long and straight always sounds good, but this week it is paramount. I look for long hitting players like Dustin Johnson, Charles Howell III, Bill Haas (LWs Winner), Ernie Els and Robert Allenby to be on or near the lead. [B]Charles Howell III -120 [/B]vs. Luke Donald The punters over in the UK love Donald. He is always a top scoring average machine. Even though he has a good record in this event, he'll always recall a major wrist injury that put him on the shelf for 6 months after he sprained his right wrist badly in the U.S Open at Torrey. He hasn't been the same since. We saw him today on the first tee on the South course. He was out of rhythm and pushed his tee shots. CH3 has had 2 runner ups in this event. I got word today from a golf handicapping friend that he has really worked hard this off season, conditioning wise. And it has shown with a T5 at the Sony and T26 LW at the Hope. Donald in his only start this year missed the cut at the Sony Open. [B]KJ Choi -115[/B] vs. Stuart Appleby KJ had a very poor year last year, and then also add that his Korean buddy Y E Yang won a major and played on the Presidents Cup team. Yang has become the superstar golfer in his homeland now. We look for KJ to bounce back and have a good season and I predict he'll be back in the winners circle soon. KJ played the Sony and a T39 was OK, but the final two rounds were very sharp with a 67-68. Appleby missed the cut at the Sony and has been a go against for over a year now. He had only one Top 10 in his last 26 starts. We saw KJ on the putting green today. We went to the range, the first tee, had lunch and back to the range etc...and KJ was still there 4 hours later working hard on his putting. Check back with us throughout the week for more possible round by round/head to head matchups.
Nice write up...just got on these 2... Howell @ -125 & -115 Choi @ -115 & -105 gluck... will be watching & following closely.
Thanks Alf....and good luck. I'm impressed with the work you seem to put into this. Thanks burg
Line movement already... Book 1: Howell -125 now -150 (WOW) Book 2: Howell -115 still -115 Could even scalp this ... -115 +120 but overnite/limits are very low between the two... mags

havn a bit of a hard time finding these golf matchups in offhsore books [QUOTE=mags;15909]Line movement already... Book 1: Howell -125 now -150 (WOW) Book 2: Howell -115 still -115 Could even scalp this ... -115 +120 but overnite/limits are very low between the two... mags[/QUOTE] where did you find these lines? matchbook has different matchups Appleby vs R Allenby (1st Round Matchups KJ Choi vs P Perez (1st Round Matchups
I got them at bookmaker, albeit at a much higher line.
Thanks for the plays Alf. I was thinking about playing Allenby VS Mickelson but didn't because of Phil's home course advantage.
Ahh, yes the beauty of golf matchups is that different sportsbooks will post different matchups and we can take advantage of the best one. We want KJ Choi against Appleby not Pat Perez who is from San Diego, has played Torrey Pines as a kid growing up, played his high school matches there, won the prestigious Junior Worlds there and his Dad is the Announcer/Starter on the South Course tee No. #1. Mr Rothstein perhaps my earlier posts will help you here. This is an excellent question Burger. And we all will have problems getting all the matchups we want because the lines move so fast and all it takes is a nickle to move a matchup 10 cents. It is hard enough to beat 30 cent lines to begin with, let alone having to tack on another 10-20 cents to get on that matchup. Note: On Wednesdays at 2pm when I start posting the regular tournament matchups here at LVASports, there will be matchups that I post that will move 80 cents! Usually before that point the sportsbook will take the matchup down. My golf matchups have been monitored by linemakers and sportsbooks for years, and if they sniff that we are coming they take it off the board. So, how do we deal with it? Well, you could middle the matchup and take a position to make money on both sides of the matchup. I personally have found it to be not as profitable, given the high percentage that we hit betting golf matchups. My suggestion is this, and I had to deal with this at Vegasinsider for 12 years. If you can get the same matchup within 15 cents, it has turned a profit long term for me and my clients in the past. 20 cents or more I would pass. Also........ I cannot disclose specific information where I bet golf matchups for obvious reasons. See the above post. So far I have only posted 2 matchups. I will say that the majority of matchups that I bet should be found at all the major books on-line....thegreek, Pinny, Matchbook, Cris, 5-dimes, etc. It is a huge advantage to have many outs betting golf matchups for that very reason. Some will have a different matchup. We have Senden over Pampling today, but I also saw Ryan Moore over Pampling and played Senden the better ball striker. I hope this helps.
[QUOTE=Alf M;15929] Note: On Wednesdays at 2pm when I start posting the regular tournament matchups here at LVASports, there will be matchups that I post that will move 80 cents! Usually before that point the sportsbook will take the matchup down. My golf matchups have been monitored by linemakers and sportsbooks for years, and if they sniff that we are coming they take it off the board. .[/QUOTE] So why tell them when you are going to post, gives us even less of a chance to get down?
"Them" aren't here, are they?