U.S. Open Men's Final

U.S. Open Men's Final Nadal/Djokovic OV 38' Games (-113) Novak playing better than he has in a long time. Nadal has steamrolled everyone, but he gets a test today. This goes at least 4 sets.

The juice is now -134. Also put a small play on Novak +280. You can get like +240 or so now.

I looked at this match from all angles and the same thing keeps coming up, Novak once he gets down in a match, throws in the towel, obviously same cannot be said for Nadal, so if Nadal is up 2-0 sets this goes under 38 games and I see that as being the more likely senario than Novak winning a set or two. Thanks Shooter, respect your opinion, so its a no play for me.

[QUOTE=Alf M;27427]I looked at this match from all angles and the same thing keeps coming up, Novak once he gets down in a match, throws in the towel, obviously same cannot be said for Nadal, so if Nadal is up 2-0 sets this goes under 38 games and I see that as being the more likely senario than Novak winning a set or two. Thanks Shooter, respect your opinion, so its a no play for me.[/QUOTE] Alf, your analysis of Novak is completely correct. Nadal could easily steamroll him. I took Djokovic mainly b/c of the value. 280 was too high. I think the extra rest day will help him after that brutal match with Federer. Novak showed a lot of fight that I haven't seen him show all year. I think this at least goes four sets with a couple tiebreak sets.

fwiw Djokovic has won last three matches vs Nadal- granted in much smaller best of 3 tournaments. Played this over yesterday and agree the extra day of rest has to help Djokovic. Nadal was an absolute machine in the QF match I saw though. Once he got going he gave up nothing on his serve.