UFC 112: INVINCIBLE (Abu Dhabi -Undercard begins at 10 AM EST) Bets:
Kendall Grove (+145) over Mark Munoz
Munoz is a better wrestler and while Grove has a weak chin, so does Munoz. He gets put on his butt a lot with punches and I think there is some value here.
Terry Etim (-145) over Rafael Dos Anjos
Paul Taylor (-219) over John Gunderson
Rick Story (-174) over Nick Osipczak
See the Veach-Kelly terse analysis.
Damarques Johnson (+140) over Brad Blackburn
Matt Veach (-250) over Paul Kelly
Brits are terrible wrestlers. Trend continues here.
Jon Madsen (-230) over Moustapha Al Turk
Takedown, lay and pray for 3 rds. Goodnight now.
Picks (no bets, too pricey):
Phil Davis over Alexander Gustafsson
Currently at -425. Still may be worth a small play. Davis's wrestling is dominant. The Swede doesn't have a chance against an athlete of this caliber.
Matt Hughes over Renzo Gracie
I like Renzo, but I don't like his chances here. I also don't like laying -380 with an aging Matt Hughes.
BJ Penn over Frankie Edgar
I think Edgar may gut it out and last the entire 5 rds here. Over 3.5 (+129) may be worth a small bet.
Anderson Silva over Demian Maia
In a grappling or straight submission match, I'd pick Maia. However, all MMA fights start on the feet and the standup is a HUGE difference between the two. Under 1.5 Rounds (-108) may be worth a small bet.
