UFC 128 Shogun vs. Jones [B]Jon Jones -185 vs Shogun Rua[/B]
Jones is perhaps the best fighter in the UFC. Size and power is a factor, but skill out-weighs them all and Jones has a unique set of skills that can and will defeat any 205 pound light-heavyweight. He is sharp and ready having just fought in February. He has a huge reach advantage of 84" vs. 74." He's younger, (23) hungrier fighter and it's his time.
Rua has been waiting patiently to defend his title, nursing a knee injury for 10 months. He was supposed to fight Rashad Evans, which would have been a much easier fight and when he stepped into the octagon after Jones dismantled Ryan Bader last month, the look on Rua's face told us plenty. He was not happy and obviously disgusted that he must now battle the best fighter in the division.
Rua lost and then retained the belt from Lyoto Machida, who is vastly overrated IMO. Before that beat up on old, fading fighters Chuck Liddell and Mark Coleman for easy pay days. Prior to that in the UFC he LOST to Forest Griffin. Jones would destroy Griffin inside of one round.
Rua was on top of his game when he fought in the Pride series fights, not now and not after a 10 month layoff. Jones can win multiple ways, this is a no brainer.
[B]Eddie Wineland +340 vs Urijah Faber[/B]
Faber, (31 yrs old) has had one fight since losing to Jose Aldo and it was a tune-up submission vs. Takeya Mizugaki. He is a strong wrestler and average puncher from the WEC and of course you have seen him in many commercials.
Wineland (26) is the better puncher/boxer/striker, his game plan is to stay on his feet and if that happens he has a good shot at winning this fight. He's won his last four fights and is in the prime of his career. There is no way he should be +300 or more in this fight, Faber was exposed vs Aldo and once he gets hit covers up and Wineland can swing freely.