UFC Live 5

UFC Live 5 Here is a summary of fights and odds (Pinnacle) for Sunday night's UFC Live 5 card. Picks to come later. [B]Dan Hardy +100 (23 - 9 - 0) vs. Chris Lytle -110 (30 - 18 - 5)[/B] Favoured Chris Lytle would have to win at a rate of 52.4% or better to break even at -110 and for Dan Hardy it's 50% at +100. [B]Jim Miller -151 (20 - 2 - 0) vs. Benson Henderson +137 (13 - 2 - 0)[/B] Favoured Jim Miller would have to win at a rate of 60.2% or better to break even at -151 and for Benson Henderson it's 42.2% at 137. [B]Donald Cerrone +121 (15 - 3 - 0) vs. Charles Oliveira -134 (14 - 1 - 0)[/B] Favoured Charles Oliveira would have to win at a rate of 57.3% or better to break even at -134 and for Donald Cerrone it's 45.2% at +121. [B]Duane Ludwig +273 (20 - 11 - 0) vs. Amir Sadollah -310 (5 - 2 - 0)[/B] Favoured Amir Sadollah would have to win at a rate of 75.6% or better to break even at -310 and for Duane Ludwig it's 26.8% at +273. [B]Jared Hamman +222 (12 - 3 - 0) vs. C.B. Dollaway -250 (11 - 3 - 0)[/B] Favoured C.B. Dollaway would have to win at a rate of 71.4% or better to break even at -250 and for Jared Hamman it's 31.1% at +222. [B]Joseph Benavidez +210 (14 - 2 - 0) vs. Eddie Wineland -235 (18 - 7 - 1)[/B] Favoured Joseph Benavidez would have to win at a rate of 70.1% or better to break even at -235 and for Eddie Wineland it's 32.3% at 210. [B]Kyle Noke -144 (19 - 4 - 1) vs. Ed Herman +130 (21 - 9 - 0)[/B] Favoured Kyle Noke would have to win at a rate of 59% or better to break even at -144 and for Ed Herman it's 43.5% at 130. [B]Ronny Marki Sales da Silva +201 (11 - 1 - 0) vs. Karlos Vemola -225 (8 - 1 - 0)[/B] Favoured Karlos Vemola would have to win at a rate of 69.2% or better to break even at -225 and for Ronny Marki Sales da Silva it's 33.2% at +201. [B]Jim Hettes -350 (8 - 0 - 0) vs. Alex Caceres +305 (5 - 3 - 0)[/B] Favoured Jim Hettes would have to win at a rate of 77.8% or better to break even at -350 and for Alex Caceres it's 24.7% at 305. [B]T.J. O'Brien +335 (16 - 4 - 0) vs. Cole Miller -387 (17 - 5 - 0)[/B] Favoured Cole Miller would have to win at a rate of 79.5% or better to break even at -387 and for T.J. O'Brien it's 23% at +335. [B]Danny Castillo -118 (11 - 3 - 0) vs. Jacob Volkmann +107 (12 - 2 - 0)[/B] Favoured Danny Castillo would have to win at a rate of 54.1% or better to break even at -118 and for Jacob Volkmann it's 48.3% at 107. [B]Jason Reinhardt +275 (20 - 2 - 0) vs. Edwin Figueroa -313 (7 - 1 - 0)[/B] Favoured Edwin Figueroa would have to win at a rate of 75.8% or better to break even at -313 and for Jason Reinhardt it's 26.7% at +275.

[B]Dan Hardy vs. Chris Lytle [/B] The main event features 29 year old Hardy who had a 7 fight win streak before his current 3 losses in a row to St. Pierre, Conduit and Anthony Johnson. His back is against the wall versus capable 37 year old veteran of over 50 fights Lytle who after 4 wins in a row is coming off a loss to Brian Ebersole when he reportedly was less than 100% with a knee injury. Hardy's weakness has been staying off his back in his last 3 matches. His take defense has been put to the test and he hasn't faired well. Lytle has 21 of 30 victories via submission, but of late he has preferred to stand and blast with his opponent versus take it to the mat and go for a submission. Lytle who is getting a little long in the tooth, still an exciting fighter to watch has had many a battle over his career coupled with MMA being a part time job for this Indianapolis firefighter who now is talking about politics. Not sure how he has recovered from his knee injury. On MMAjunkie when asked if he would take fight to ground where he has the definite advanatge, he basically said that is not his gameplan. This won't be a popular pick but I am leaning towards the younger Hardy who's UFC career is likely on the line in this fight. [COLOR="#008000"][B]Hardy to win.[/B][/COLOR] [B]Jim Miller vs. Benson Henderson [/B] This could easily have been the main event and should be an entertaining match up. All Ben Henderson's fights are exciting to watch. As the odds show, this is going to be a close fight. Too tough for me to call and I am going to pass and just enjoy watching this one. [COLOR="#008000"][B]No bet.[/B][/COLOR] [B]Donald Cerrone vs. Charles Oliveira [/B] Another matchup that should bring fireworks. You have the bigger, stronger and battle tested Cerrone versus the quicker and enteratining Oliveria. In a close match I see the slight underdog Cerrone pulling out the victory. [COLOR="#008000"][B]Cerrone to win.[/B][/COLOR] Other bets: [COLOR="#008000"][B] Amir Sadollah to win. Joseph Benavidez to win. Kyle Noke to win. Karlos Vemola to win.[/B][/COLOR]