Verizon Heritage

Verizon Heritage The Verizon Heritage Tournament is once again held at the Harbor Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island. SC. The par 71 layout will only play to 6,973 yards and has some of the smallest greens on the PGA Tour. This is a Masters hangover week for many players. We are looking for solid previous experience in this event. This is target golf at its finest. [B]KJ Choi -130 [/B]vs. Paul Casey Going into the back nine on Sunday at the Masters KJ looked like he was EVEN Money to win. He had just 8 puts in his first 8 holes, but then pushed too hard and Mickelson stole the show. We'll bet against Casey again this week, injured or not his confidence has to be very low after missing the cut at the Masters. Choi hasn't played here in years. Casey was T11 LY. However, Casey was on a roll at this time LY. He won the Shell Houston Open, then finished Top 20 at the Masters and then T11 here. He was playing so well he cracked the Top 5 in the World Rankings. I would play Choi at -160 or less. [B]Mike Weir -120 [/B]vs. Sergio Garcia Both of these players made the cut at the Masters and struggled on the weekend. Weir is obviously the better putter and will hit more greens than Sergio. [B]Luke Donald -140 [/B]vs. Stewart Cink Yes, Cink won here twice but in the last 5 years just one Top 10. He said at the Masters that he is not comfortable over the ball and his current form is brutal with just one round in the 60's since Feb 6th. Luke was T2 here last year and is much more consistent tee to green than Cink. [B]Boo Weekly -115 [/B]vs. Kevin Na Na just played in his first Masters and should be exhausted, while Boo has not played in two weeks and should be rested and ready. The 2x winner of this event the past three years is a target machine into these tiny greens and I expect his best finish of the season this week. [B]1st Round[/B] [B]Ricky Barnes -130 [/B]vs. Lee Janzen If Barnes plays anything like he did in the Masters, this is a slam dunk. Janzen is old and no threat to any event and has missed 5 of 6 cuts.

thanks alf. good luck this week. lots of steam on kuchar. down to 10-1 at the greek? do you like him at all?

Found them all but the Choi vs Casey... Alf what are your thoughts about fading Casey all together in multiple matchups? He does seem to be facing some serious shoulder issues and was just brutal in Masters. Thanks

I'm afraid Kuch will be tired and mentally drained from last week. He's not the workout kind of player like Choi or Barnes is....and 10-1 seems too low or rather you should be looking to get 25-1. NYdoc on another note, it seems the Greek has really lowered the number of matchups and limits lately? I'm talking the last 3 weeks?

Yes, there are others vs Casey, but do not want Furyk or Allenby. Anyone else?

i saw 10-1 at the greek and got 28-1 elsewhere. played it small.

at the greek: 4/15/2010 12:00 PM 3 Balls 18 holes only, most birdie is use for tie breaker. 253 Paul Casey +135 254 Zach Johnson +165 255 Carl Pettersson +225

The 3 balls have been around for awhile and the odds on them are poor and should be avoided unless the sportsbook makes a mistake. However, I have bet them in the past and here's my strategy. Sometimes they'll post 3 golfers where one of them is really bad, like we saw with Michael Campbell last week at the Masters and the 3 ball becomes a 2 ball. Then you should get +plus money on a matchup that if they were listed as a head to head bet the player you like would actually be -130 or higher and a significant favorite.

lets sweep this bitch

This is a first..... Several hours now after Alf's post and the 3 widely available entire tournament matchups (Choi vs Casey not included) have all moved against us (using pinny).... Only the 1st Round matchup of Barnes vs Janzen has moved in the expected direction. Thoughts on this Alf? Good Luck