Zenyatta camp exuding confidence

Zenyatta camp exuding confidence [url]https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/59585/zenyatta-glides-into-bc-classic-effortlessly[/url]

[QUOTE=DiscreetCat;31482][url]https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/59585/zenyatta-glides-into-bc-classic-effortlessly[/url][/QUOTE] What are your thoughts on this workout ? I don't think it was as great as they say. She had the workout( target) horse waiting for her and she never could pass, even past the wire. Do you think she worked harder than they wanted?

It was clearly by design, they did the same thing last week. From what i understand, it's because she lets off the gass once she reaches the front, and they don't want her loafing when they're trying to get some work into her. Zenyatta's current physical condition is the last of my worries. Of greater concern is the potential for traffic in the race, as the field is large and we all know how she likes to laguish at back of the pack during the early going. She didn't have a clean trip in last year's race either though, and i do think the long Churchill stretch and especially the 1 1/4-mile distance will work greatly in her favor. The dirt angle is no factor at all, in my opinion. I think she's made that perfectly clear @ Oaklawn, which incidentally is supposed to be a pretty similar surface to that of Churchill.

What do you think she'll go off at? She's great for the sport, so part of me will be rooting for her, but I doubt I'll be betting her. I'm guessing 2-1 odds. Any less than that, some of those boys are going to be a great overlay. If she beats this group, she's not only Horse of the Year, but Horse of the Decade.

My best guess would be 2/1, and I think it's more possible she goes a shade lower (as opposed to higher). That being said, I've heard and seen many conflicting opinions. For instance, the fact that Wynn opened up Zenyatta as just a -120 favorite over Blame and -135 over Lookin at Lucky is a very good sign. And of course you'll have Andy Beyer and several others downplaying her chances in the media over the coming week. That might cancel out some of the positive press she's been getting. There are also many people who think she "hasn't proven anything on dirt", and will be looking to beat her. I've heard that she'll be installed as the 3/1 ml favorite, for whatever that's worth.

I'm already seeing 2-1 and 5-2 at the shops in England. The morning line came out at 8-5. If the public really backs Zenyatta, they might bet her down to 3-2, 7-5, 6-5? I'm not saying she'll lose, but you'll find great value on some of the boys here. With all but one race being 10 to 14 horses, there should be tremendous value bets in every race. Using any degree of math and common sense, you CAN beat the Breeder's Cup races. Too much public money, and it's NOT smart money either. I live for these 2 days. On a normal weekend, I don't bet much more than $20-$40 on a single race, but my handle here will average $500 per race, maybe more. I do this every year, and unless a bunch of favorites come in, I'll usually make money. Even better yet, by playing with 5 Dimes, I get a 10% premium on winning wagers. I can't wait for Friday afternoon. Good luck DC.

I think the public will bet zenyatta at any price. I took +290 ,but i plan on playing back the other way. Value will be there on others. In the marathon ,i was looking at bright horizon at 10 to 1. Any thinking here.

friday races race 5 ---7 8 9 11 race 6 trying to beat winter memories with 2 3 8 10 11 13 race 7 --- 1 2 3 5 9 13 pick 3 = 144 combos , race 5 to race 6 double = 24 combos , race6 to race 7 = 36 double combos

LOL. [url]https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/59706/zenyatta-camp-exudes-confidence[/url]