The scene: the El Cortez. A crowded blackjack table on a Saturday night. I'm watching, waiting for a seat.
A man is betting about $125 per hand. But he likes to mix various colors of chips and make his bets uneven numbers--for instance, four greens, five reds, and four whites, for a bet of $129. Then he gets a blackjack, and I notice that the dealer breaks out the bet's various denominations and pays each stack 3:2 separately, which is standard procedure, so the camera can see that the payout is done correctly.
Except she doesn't do it right. She subtly screws up the process and winds up paying the guy $25 too much. She resumes dealing. A few minutes later, the same thing happens...she overpays the guy for a BJ by $25. I wonder, is she simply inexperienced and miscalculating somehow? But the breakdown-the-bet procedure is supposed to prevent that from happening.
Over the next half hour, I see her make this "mistake" (?) three more times--overpaying the same player, by the exact same $25 amount. I try to determine her overall dealing skill level, and as far as I can judge, it's excellent. She's smooth and fast and obviously experienced. So why this repeated overpayment?
The way she broke out and paid that guy's bets was unorthodox and kind of hard to follow. I'm actually kind of surprised I was able to detect the BJ overpayments at all--it was kind of hard to follow, given her hand-work.
Could this be collusion? I wonder. If that player is overpaid by $25 on all his BJs and his average bet size is $125, he's making an extra fifth of a bet every 21 hands--essentially, a 1% boost. That's enough to win big time if he's otherwise playing good basic strategy. I think that the eye in the sky would eventually pick this up. but they'd have to be watching it carefully, and the place was jammed.
Should I have said anything?