I have been working and developing betting strategies for NFL Games for a couple of years now. I do it mainly because of the math involved and it gives me something to do in my spare time. By all means I am a novice compared to others I know that have spent years at handicapping. A long story short I do have an advantage over s better that is going by emotion or looking for anomalies in the lines and that is when it happened.
At lunch today, my friend boasted that he had tried to make a bet with another friend that Seattle would beat Chicago and that he would make it even (No Points). The other person did not accept the bet, but this did allow a lot of banter back and forth between us. This is when he said he would make the bet with me. Holy C__p! Are you kidding me. Now these guys know that I am heavy into sports capping, but he still wanted to make the bet. Folks, this is pure emotion betting. Chicago is a 10 point favorite and playing at home and this is exactly what any good sports better is looking for. I was in shock, but he is my friend so we ended on he or I would buy lunch depending on the outcome of the game. The initial wager was for cash and a fair amount and I so wanted to make the bet, but that is how you end friendships.
The point is not whether Seattle or Chicago wins the game, but what are the probabilities that a given team will win and what the spread would be to make the game even. The bottom line is when you find something like this you should bet the heck out of it, but I could not. If I could find this in Vegas. I would be making this post from there instead of Dallas. Man these do not come along everyday and I could not bet it.
I hope I find a spread like this in Vegas for the upcoming League Championship games !!!!
Cheers,
At lunch today, my friend boasted that he had tried to make a bet with another friend that Seattle would beat Chicago and that he would make it even (No Points). The other person did not accept the bet, but this did allow a lot of banter back and forth between us. This is when he said he would make the bet with me. Holy C__p! Are you kidding me. Now these guys know that I am heavy into sports capping, but he still wanted to make the bet. Folks, this is pure emotion betting. Chicago is a 10 point favorite and playing at home and this is exactly what any good sports better is looking for. I was in shock, but he is my friend so we ended on he or I would buy lunch depending on the outcome of the game. The initial wager was for cash and a fair amount and I so wanted to make the bet, but that is how you end friendships.
The point is not whether Seattle or Chicago wins the game, but what are the probabilities that a given team will win and what the spread would be to make the game even. The bottom line is when you find something like this you should bet the heck out of it, but I could not. If I could find this in Vegas. I would be making this post from there instead of Dallas. Man these do not come along everyday and I could not bet it.
I hope I find a spread like this in Vegas for the upcoming League Championship games !!!!
Cheers,
