All the mail-in-ballots that came in before Saturday the 5th have already been counted. Tha'ts why there is a Hobbs lead as well as the others. I believe that the republicans having early ballots brought a lot of them into the polls.
Unfortunately the wacko Lake rallied her troops while the timid Hobbs refused to campaign hard. Her refusal to debate Lake was a huge tactical mistake. When called a coward by Lake she still refused to engage which, I believe, sounded the death knoll for her campaign. All Hobbs had to do was let Lake spew and rant until out of breath and, then, smile sweetly and let the audience know she didn't answer the question or had no plan. The collateral damage of that misguided decision will be the Attorney General and Secretary of State offices going to republican election deniers..
Like I said, I really hope that I'm wrong.