Originally posted by: Robert Davis
It was inflated related to "deadbeat former students." I read the article that was published in Forbes. The CBO estimates that the student loan program will lose $393 billion between 2024 and 2034. $221 billion will be on loans that will be issued between 2024 and 2034. Payment hasn't begun on those loans. Another $34 billion will be spent on administration. $140 billion of losses will be from loan forgiveness. Since I'm still licensed to teach secondary math in two states, I did the calculation. The amount per household from loan forgiveness over the 10 year period equates to $1100 ($110 per year). So Saul gets 3 Pinnochios. https://www.forbes.com/sites/prestoncooper2/2024/06/19/cbo-cost-of-federal-student-loans-nears-400-billion/
I greatly appreciate the calculations. But let me ask you--what was the asset value of those loans, since the language of the contracts implied that some of them would be forgiven? Surely not face value. Any loan twenty years old or older--as these loans were--should have been heavily discounted on the government balance sheet already. Thus, the contingent losses from borrowers exercising the forgiveness should have been baked into the asset valuations, and thus, forgiveness created no additional losses at all.
Another way to evaluate these loans is to consider them "wasting' assets."
In any event, these loans should have been forgiven during the Trump administration, but he welshed on the contracts.