Nate Silver: Harris Pulls Ahead Of Trump

Up by 1.4 points with a 51% chance of winning the Electoral College.

 

 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

Originally posted by: Mark

Up by 1.4 points with a 51% chance of winning the Electoral College.

 

 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model


     Dream on....

 

I believe that the polls are tending to underestimate Harris's advantage, because the latest wave of young voters generally doesn't participate in polls. Regardless, though, the only polls that matter are those taken in swing states. We'll see how it all looks after she announces her VP pick (probably Shapiro).

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