Prediction of 2024 Popular Vote

I'm just wondering what everyone is predicting the popular vote for this presidential election will be. 

90% chance Harris wins the popular vote. 

Are you asking what the total number of voters will be, such as 155 million people will vote, or what percentage each candidate will ultimately receive when all votes are counted?   If the latter, then 55% for Harris, Trump 45%.   If the former, I will go with the 155 million total voters. 

I'm sorry I wasn't clear.  I was looking for the total votes that a candidate would win by.  For example,  a candidate will win by 4 million total votes.  Hope that clarifies it.

If the polls are any indication, Harris will win the popular vote by about an 11:10 ratio. so divife the total vote by 21 and then multiply the resuly by 11 to get Harris' total. For instance, 168 million total votes = 88 million for Harris and 80 million for Trump.

That's a fairly crude estimation, though, and the actual ratio may be something more like 47 to 44, which would put Harris leading by about six million votes. All utterly irrelevant because of the Slavery College, of course.

Thanks for that Robert.  I'll go with Harris winning by 5 million votes. 

I am not going to put a number on it.   I beleive she will win the popular vote.

One of the possibilities I forsee is her emerging with the largest percetage of the popular vote ever while still not winning the Presidency because of the EC.

The early voting and polling tells me her share of the popular vote in a lot of red states, where she wont win, is going up which means she should end up with a large advantage in the popular vote.

I understand.  But if Trump wins and your prediction is close, he would be the first candidate to have won the electoral vote twice but lost the popular both times.  Plus, he would have lost the popular vote 3 times. 

Gotta have a constitutional amendment  to address the electoral college thingy. Not simple..or easy..or fun.

Or possible--since for such an amendment to be ratified, it would have to be approved by at least 38 states (3/4)--and those would necessarily include several of the smaller states and many of the red states. There is no way on God's green earth that those states will vote to diminish their own political power.

Even if a majority of citizens in those states do indeed want to ratify such an amendment, Republican-controlled legislatures could and would file court actions to stop referenda from ever taking place. Such referenda wouldn't be binding on the legislatures anyway.

If 2/3 of the states agree to hold a Constitutional convention, without any particular amendment being proposed at that stage, that can be done as well. It would still be up to the state legislatures, though. Crucially, it would NEVER be up to the voters in the states.

So since the only way that Republicans can continue to be a minority party, yet cling to power, is the continued existence of the EC, there's no chance that they'll give a shit what the people want--which, in itself, is a very Republican way to govern.