Prediction of 2024 Popular Vote

Originally posted by: Robert Davis

I understand.  But if Trump wins and your prediction is close, he would be the first candidate to have won the electoral vote twice but lost the popular both times.  Plus, he would have lost the popular vote 3 times. 


His losing the popular vote by some substantial margin is pretty much a given. What's more interesting, though, is that Republicans have lost every popular vote since 1992. People praise our holy, sacred, noble democracy, but it's completely fucked up that the minority party has such a death-grip on power.

I believe that George W Bush won the popular vote in 2004 by around 3,000,000 votes.

Originally posted by: Nines

Gotta have a constitutional amendment  to address the electoral college thingy. Not simple..or easy..or fun.

 


It won't ever happen.  I compared CA, WY and TX.  In Wyoming, there are 83,553 registered voters per electoral vote.  In California, there are 418,438 registered voters per electoral vote.  It's worse in Texas where there are 465,598 registered voters per electoral vote.  Neither political party should want such a discrepency.  Take care.

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

His losing the popular vote by some substantial margin is pretty much a given. What's more interesting, though, is that Republicans have lost every popular vote since 1992. People praise our holy, sacred, noble democracy, but it's completely fucked up that the minority party has such a death-grip on power.


It is called affirmative action for white folks. 


Hillary won by 6 million.   Kamala's margin will be at least that.   

Originally posted by: PJ Stroh

Hillary won by 6 million.   Kamala's margin will be at least that.   


 HaHaHaHaHaHaHa!

Originally posted by: Robert Davis

I believe that George W Bush won the popular vote in 2004 by around 3,000,000 votes.


Yes, I forgot that one. (And boy, what a mistake that turned out to be!)

Originally posted by: Robert Davis

It won't ever happen.  I compared CA, WY and TX.  In Wyoming, there are 83,553 registered voters per electoral vote.  In California, there are 418,438 registered voters per electoral vote.  It's worse in Texas where there are 465,598 registered voters per electoral vote.  Neither political party should want such a discrepency.  Take care.


Well, as far as what either party should want--the Republicans benefit far more from that discrepancy than the Democrats do, so it's unrealistic to expect them to want to do anything but maintain the status quo. They also benefit from Puerto Rico being continually denied statehood. And then there's the Senate, which awards 50 of its 100 representatives to 16% of the population, most of whom are Republicans.

 

You want the really horrible discrepancy, compare Wyoming's Senate representation on a per capita basis to that of either California or Texas. It's almost as bad in the House, where, for instance, California has 80 times the population of Wyoming but only 18 times as many electoral votes. That means that a voter in Wyoming has more than four times as much influence over the Presidential election as does a voter in California (or Texas).

 

Undemocratic? You betcha. But like the system of slavery that spawned our fucked-up election process, it persists because it benefits a rich and powerful minority.

 

 

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

Well, as far as what either party should want--the Republicans benefit far more from that discrepancy than the Democrats do, so it's unrealistic to expect them to want to do anything but maintain the status quo. They also benefit from Puerto Rico being continually denied statehood. And then there's the Senate, which awards 50 of its 100 representatives to 16% of the population, most of whom are Republicans.

 

You want the really horrible discrepancy, compare Wyoming's Senate representation on a per capita basis to that of either California or Texas. It's almost as bad in the House, where, for instance, California has 80 times the population of Wyoming but only 18 times as many electoral votes. That means that a voter in Wyoming has more than four times as much influence over the Presidential election as does a voter in California (or Texas).

 

Undemocratic? You betcha. But like the system of slavery that spawned our fucked-up election process, it persists because it benefits a rich and powerful minority.

 

 


Comparing registered voters in CA to those in WY, it's 5 times more influence. 

Originally posted by: David Miller

 HaHaHaHaHaHaHa!


If PJ is so far off, where might your prediction be? 

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