I've been saying for about a year that MAGA's "Drill, baby, drill!" makes no economic sense. The premise that lower oil prices would result from domestic drilling, when many other countries have a lower cost structure than the US is nonsense.
"The total rig count in the US fell by 6 to 578 rigs, according to Baker Hughes, down 25 from this same time last year."
"The latest EIA data showed that weekly U.S. crude oil production fell, from 13.465 million bpd to 13.367 million bpd. The figure is 264,000 bpd down from the all-time high reached during the week of December 6, 2024."
"WTI is trading up on the day, but still below what the Dallas Fed Survey says is the breakeven for Permian players, with drilling activity in the basin falling by 2 again this week to 285—a figure that is 29 fewer than this same time last year."
Let's see what happens as OPEC+ starts flooding the market with their new production numbers. Could I have been right about everything, all the time, everywhere, again? We shall see!
US Oil Drillers Slow Activity As Prices Hurt, Even in Permian | OilPrice.com