Rasmussen Reports Final 2020 Poll - 2 November

The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Biden edging the president 48% to 47%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided.

 

On Friday, Biden had [held] a three-point advantage – 49% to 46% - after the lead had seesawed up and down between the two men for the previous four days. The race has been tightening since early last month.

 

On the Monday before Election Day in 2016, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton [had] held a 45% to 43% lead over Trump in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch. While Trump won the presidency in the Electoral College.

 

Ref: Rasmussen Reports

 

For the record, poor old DonDiego will watch some early returns on Election Day evening, . . . but likely won't know the winner before waking up on Wednesday, . . . just like 4 years ago.  He was pleasantly surprised on that Wednesday morning.

 

He's presently residing one timezone west compared to 2016, . . . so he may know more before bedtime this year.

 

Edited on Nov 2, 2020 1:03pm

Polls 101: Never rely on one poll. Anyone who does is i either gnorant or dishonest.

 

Please see above.

Being pleasantly surprised by Trump being elected is like being pleasantly surprised by 220,000 people dying.

 

Also...a poll of "likely voters" would, by definition, only include those who had not voted yet...and we already know that Republicans will greatly outnumber Democrats tomorrow in in-person voting, most Democrats having had the common sense to stay away and vote by mail or drop-off ballot.

 

Therefore, the near-tie reported by Rasmussen among those who have yet to vote should not be a source of happiness to DonDiego; rather, it should be of great concern to him. It should be more like 2:1 in favor of Trump. If Trump only gets half of the voters tomorrow, he's as good as dead.

I'd like to remind readers that Rasmussen is a conservative polling firm.  It is the day before the election, and we are talking about the battleground states of Texas, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. That isn't good news for Trump.


DonDiego wont have to wait till morning.   Trump will declare victory before bedtime despite none of the early / absentee votes counting.   Thats all part of the plan.     

Originally posted by: Mark

I'd like to remind readers that Rasmussen is a conservative polling firm.  It is the day before the election, and we are talking about the battleground states of Texas, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. That isn't good news for Trump.


Considering that he has to hold onto all four, except for possibly Arizona, to even have a chance, being tied in those states isn't good news. He basically has to win four coin flips in a row: 7 to 1 against, for those of you scoring at home. And even then, Trump still needs Michigan, Winconsin, AND Pennsylvania to win, assuming no upsets in favor of Biden elsewhere.

 

I'm guessing that Trump has maybe a 10% chance. Unfortunately, that's not zero. We're like a patient on the eve of surgery being reassured by his doctor that 90% of patients survive the procedure.

The polls are tightening because the Lyin' Liberal pollsters don't want to look stupid after months of lying to us.

Originally posted by: Boilerman

The polls are tightening because the Lyin' Liberal pollsters don't want to look stupid after months of lying to us.


"Lyin' Liberal pollsters" like Fox News? Okay then.

Originally posted by: Boilerman

The polls are tightening because the Lyin' Liberal pollsters don't want to look stupid after months of lying to us.


That's a stupid thing to say, even for you.

 

FYI, Boiler, "the polls" aren't "tightening"--since March, the relative positions of Biden and Trump have been almost the same, with very little fluctuation.

 

The national polls are and have been taken by a variety of pollsters, including Fox News, that liberal news source.

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