Shoplifting has fallen 7% since 2019.

I believe the study was based on only 24 cities and then excluded NYC.  With NYC included the numbers change.

With New York’s numbers included, reported incidents were 16% higher (8,453 more incidents) in the study cities during the first half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2019; without New York, the number was 7% lower (-2, 552 incidents

The median value of goods stolen in shoplifting incidents grew from approximately $75 in 2019 to roughly $100 in 2021.Looking at 90% of incidents and excluding those in the top 10% in terms of value, the value of stolen goods in shoplifting incidents in 2021 was $756 or less, a $184 increase from 2019.

The share of shoplifting incidents categorized as felonies (in five of the cities) nearly doubled from about 8% prior to the onset of the pandemic to almost 16% in the first half of 2023

The proportion of reported shoplifting incidents that involved an assault or other crime rose 9% from 2019 to 2021 but constitutes a small share (less than 2%) of overall shoplifting events. Store assaults were 7% lower in the first half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2022 but were 8% higher for the same period compared to 2019.

In the first half of 2023, there were 61,184 shoplifting incidents. In the first half of 2018 and 2019, there were 52,874 and 52,731 shoplifting incidents, respectively. Compared to the first half of 2019, total shoplifting incidents were 16% higher

According to Business Insider shoplifting has grown from $75b in 2019 to a projected $112B in 2023

Business Insider, November 2023: "Shoplifting rates are below pre-pandemic levels across the US, according to new crime-data analysis."

And that national retailers organization made up a phony report, didn't they?

The real point here is that whichever numbers you look at and and for when, there is no massive wave of shoplifting tearing its way through the shopping centers of America---in reality, the rates haven't changed much in either direction. And idiots like our Shortbus Gang swallow it whole when retailers say they're closing/moving downtown stores because of crime, when they're simply closing less profitable stores.

Why do they lie? One, it sounds better to shareholders than the truth--that due to demographic shifts, retailers in large cties have had to reorganize, which costs money; two, it's always an effective dog whistle to politicize the issue, blame "soft on crime" city authorities, bitch about how cities are changing in general--because the people who own stocks and read the WSJ are conservitards, and LUVVVV all that nonsense.

That statement is based on a study of only 24 cities and then doesn't count NYC.  Shoplifting has increased from from $75b in 2019 to over $112b now

Adjusting for inflation, and going WAAAAAY out on a limb and saying your numbers are correct, there's not that much difference. Do the math.

Besides, the retailers admitted the whole massive shoplifting wave thing was bogus. Why are you still trying to believe it?

The actual number is $112b which is a 49.3% increase from $75 of 4 years ago; slightly higher thatn inflation.  Do the math.

Yes. SLIGHTLY higher. Not some massive wave of shoplifting fueled by organized crime.

How does the data compare vs 2018?  I suspect that your data is cherry picked, and not only by date, but by catagory.

BTW, who has better data than a huge credit card company?

https://capitaloneshopping.com/research/shoplifting-statistics/

This shoplifting trend carrys over to the NYC transit system which lost $680m due to turnstile jumping.

Yet even after a dramatic increase in enforcement, the transit system lost $690 million to fare evasion last year, officials say.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/05/nyregion/mta-fare-evasion.html#:~:text=As%20passengers%20trickle%20in%2C%20police,evasion%20last%20year%2C%20officials%20say.

Since credit card companies aren't retailers, the answer to your question is...almost anybody.