Silver lining

All we have to do is survive the next 3+ years. Then, there will be such white-hot hatred for the Turd and his MAGA Republipigs, they won't win a single election anywhere.

Why do I think so? Well, much of America climbed into the Republican toilet voluntarily and yanked the handle last year...and the only reason was the inflation during the Biden administration, even though it had largely abated by the time of the election. So what will the voters do when we have 3+ years of double-digit inflation?

People vote primarily with their pocketbooks. Blue tsunami coming!

  HaHaHaHaHaHaHa! 

Democrat Net Favorability Plunges to Near Three-Decade Low, Poll Shows - Newsweek

3 days ago

Exclusive | Democrats Get Lowest Rating From Voters in 35 Years, WSJ Poll Finds - WSJ

July 25

Job approval for congressional Democrats hits all-time low: ‘Flat out terrible’

July 16.

It's a tsunami!

Yep. Like I said, Trumpflation is only just now beginning, and voters have short memories and no real sense of the future.

My post wasn't about how people feel now (you may have missed that, with your limited reading skills). It's about how they'll feel after three years of Trumpflation.

Oh.  I see.  Even though your party has hit all time popularity lows you've convinced your pea brain that your tremedous power of economic prediction will save the day.  And yet you failed to predict Biden's higest inflatoin in 40 years.  First democrats told us there was no inflation.  Then they said it was transitory. Then it was a 'First World' problem.  Then it was supply chain.  Then Russia.  And yet super economist Kevin Lewis can now predict the inflation rate over the next 3 years.. That's just laughable.

So please Kevin.  Tell us what your exact accumulated trumpflation prediction is for the CPI for rest of this year and next year.  20% ?  40% ? Or what?  Where does it peak?  Or better yet, just shut your mouth because you're a coward and a fear monger and you don't know what the fuck you're talking about and you'll never be nailed down to a real prediction because you're just spewing bullshit.  I grow weary of schooling you.

You're sure yeeping a lot, though, for someone who is "growing weary." 

Face it, stupid angry Charles. I've been successfully baiting you, and you've been triggered over and over. I dominate you and Millerscum. Utterly.

You're not actually asking any question about future inflation, so I won't dignify you with an answer. After all, you're a cult member who thinks that Trumpiffs won't cause inflation.

Irrational.

If you want to take out your crayons, though, simply calculate US imports from the tariffed countries (using 2024 figures), multiply the amounts by the individual tariffs, and divide by the portion of GDP that imports represent. That's already been done by dozens of economists, but I'll let you come up with your own answer.

Then you can tell us how politically popular it will be for the average American household to have to spend $2,000 more to buy the same goods as last year.

Miller lives rent free in Kevin's pea brain as he is compelled to respond to David's every post. Kevin has no power to resist David Miller (and obviously me).  Unlike Kevin, I actually have a life, so unfortunately I neither have the time or inclination to continue to educate him. 

Of course Kevin the coward refuses to predict an actual inflation rate.  He never will.  Because he can't and he doesn't want to be challenged when proven wrong.  That's how all cowards work.  All he can do is make wild claims.  His foolish inflation analysis assumes the full impact of tariffs is born by the consumer and that nothing else changes.  If that was true then why did Trump 1's tariffs on China not impact prices? 

Here's just a few things Kevin the tax cheat fails to consider:

1  Massive deregulation that lowers costs for American businesses.

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Launches Massive 10-to-1 Deregulation Initiative – The White House

2  Declining oil prices.  (crude down 25%).  This dulls inflation and positively impacts the entire US economy 

Crude Oil - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News

3  Many countries and foreign businesses will 'eat' some of the tariff costs because they fear losing market share more than a few points of margin.  Especially Chinese companies.

Customers have been spared most of the tariff costs so far, Goldman Sachs finds - MarketWatch

4  Many retailers will also 'eat' some of the tariff costs because they also fear losing market share.

U.S. businesses are absorbing two-thirds of tariff costs so far - Goldman | Seeking Alpha

5   "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon"  said someone who Kevin would never understand.  Inflation is impacted by Federal Reserve Money supply decisions more that Fiscal Policy.

Now that the tariffs have been implemented, according to Kevin, we can expect to see prices increase exactly in proportion to the tariff percent applied to the amount of previous imports.  That's just stupid.  In fact at one time he said 40% under Trump, but now refuses to give us a number.  

So let's make a bet.  I bet at no month in the next 6 months will the year over year CPI increase more than Joe Biden's worst inflation month (June 2022).  The stakes?  Leaving the Kitchen Sink.  Deal or coward?

And finally Kevin loves to refer to me as 'Angry'.  So hilarious coming from the little boy who is evading his federal taxes in protest of President Trump and has called for Presidential assassination.  That's criminal level anger right there.

I think Kevin is being a bit naïve that there is going to be another election or at least one that is fair.

Democrats didn't have to cry about the little green men who rigged the jobs numbers when Biden was president.    I don't know if that's because the jobs numbers were objectively better....or because Democrats just aren't a bunch of pussies who hide behind mental patient conspiracy theories.    

I guess I feel better being on the left either way.

Stupid angry Charles thinks that companies "absorbing" tariffs will keep prices of consumer goods from going up. That's a Charles-level idiocy.

The primary reason why consumer prices haven't gone up much since the Turd announced his Trumpiffs is that most of the tariffs only just recently kicked in--AND, in anticipation, companies that import consumer goods stocked up. Inventories are at an all-time high.

I'm not going to name an exact figure for Trumpflation, because that would be silly. Also, SAC will say, "AHAAAAA! You predicted 9% inflation, but yesterday, it was only 8.997%!! YEW LOOZE!"

I also won't reference Biden in any prediction I may make, because he didn't cause the inflation during his term. Trump, in contrast, is enacting policies that will cause inflation--DELIBERATELY. Even if Trumpflation turns out to be "only" 5%--it will still be higher than it would have been if the Turd had croaked.

But when all is said and done...the prediction of most economists, ASSUMING that the shitTurd doesn't pivot once again, is an annualized inflation rate of 10% or higher. And since the Turd probably won't increase or add to his Turdiffs, the shock may be devastating but only occur once. In fact, the Trumpcession and all the bankruptcies that will result will probably bring prices back down. At the cost of 10 million jobs, of course.

Also, I'm not taking SAC's idiotic "bet" because a) he won't honor it if he loses b) I don't care if he leaves the Sink or stays; in fact, I would miss my favorite punching bag c) comparing a six-month period to the single worst month in a four-year period is, well, stupid angry Charles-level stupidity.

I agree with the prediction that if all the Trumpiffs remain in force, annualized inflation for the month of December will exceed 10%. By then, the Trumpiffs will have fully crippled the US economy.

Hold your breath until you turn blue, Charles!