Washington DC murders since The Guard arrived

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

Can't prove that, can you?


If you don't believe that 12 +1+4=17, then I have no way of proving it.  What is it that you don't believe beyond the addition of these three numbers?  The simple statistics is, well...simple.

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

As you say, Boilerboob's claim, even if accurate (which it hilariously isn't), would have to include WHY having a few National Guard troops strutting around is supposedly making a difference. According to Boilerboob, Mr. Bad Guy is fondling his gun, saying to himself, "Gee, I think I'll shoot somebody today," but then he looks out his window and sees a couple of National Guard marching by and says, "Guess I'd better not; I'm going to Cracker Barrel."


To be clear, my post was not in reference to Boilerman's "claim".   Just my own thoughts regarding "murder" statistics etc.  Thanks.

 

Candy

Originally posted by: Boilerman

If you don't believe that 12 +1+4=17, then I have no way of proving it.  What is it that you don't believe beyond the addition of these three numbers?  The simple statistics is, well...simple.


It's not your child-math I want you to prove; it's the accuracy of your 'stats." 

 

What I don't believe is your "reportage" on the number of murders. And you've weaseled away from at least half a dozen requests for a source. Therefore, you have no source, and are simply lying.

Originally posted by: O2bnVegas

To be clear, my post was not in reference to Boilerman's "claim".   Just my own thoughts regarding "murder" statistics etc.  Thanks.

 

Candy


It's pointless anyway, since Boilerboob is trying to tell us that Trump's invasion is the CAUSE of those supposedly reduced murder rates...and he has no way to prove causation.


.42 to the 16th power x .58 is accurate.  If you disagree, explain.  Your argument appears to be that your lack of understanding of the math/stats makes my calculations wrong.  It's not complicated, so tell us what I did wrong.

 

The 58% wasn't just plucked out of midair.  That is the likelihood of someone being murdered in DC on any individual day.  42% is the likelihood of someone not being murdered on any individual day.

Edited on Sep 2, 2025 4:52am

My stats above are obsolete, since there was no murder yesterday in DC. Here is the likelihood of 1 murder over a single 18 day stretch in DC.

 

(.42 to the 17th) x .58 = 5.437717e-7, or 1 in 1,839,229.  Calling this a coincidence has gone far beyond ludicrous.

Edited on Sep 2, 2025 5:13am

Thats about the same as Pyongyang ever since North Korea turned into a police state.   

 

Believe it or not there are some silver linings to having an Authoritarian government.    Low crime is one of them.    

Policing high crime areas is now an authoriantian action in the Liberal mind.  What is The Guard preventing people from doing PJ?  I guess your argument is that preventing crime is authoriantian.

 

Next Liberals will tell us that Trump equals Hitler.

 

By the way, my prediction came true regarding Trump's DC deployment.

 

1. Democrats said it won't work.

 

2.  Democrats said it's not working, all the while ignoring the stats.

 

3.  And this is the most important part.  Democrats are finally saying that it's working, but we don't like how success was achieved.

 

I can read you guys like a book.

 

 

 

Edited on Sep 2, 2025 8:01am

I never said it didnt work.  I said the motivation for it has nothing to do with crime - hence the mulitude of cities with worse problems being ignored by the government.

 

Boilerman says we are deploying troops to the worst areas which statisitics prove is false.

 

We are deploying troops to states run by governors seen as potential Democrat nominees in 2028.   

 

Of course, Boilerman can prove that wrong by coming up with some rational explanaiton as to why Memphis was passed over in favor of LA and Chicago.   Dont hold your breath.

Originally posted by: PJ Stroh

I never said it didnt work.  I said the motivation for it has nothing to do with crime - hence the mulitude of cities with worse problems being ignored by the government.

 

Boilerman says we are deploying troops to the worst areas which statisitics prove is false.

 

We are deploying troops to states run by governors seen as potential Democrat nominees in 2028.   

 

Of course, Boilerman can prove that wrong by coming up with some rational explanaiton as to why Memphis was passed over in favor of LA and Chicago.   Dont hold your breath.


PJ, while Trump would love and it would be great to have the Guard fix lots of cities, the legal authority is questionable...outside of DC.  I assume that you are ignoring this fact.  If Tennessee called, I'm sure the Guard would be there within a few weeks.  You and I know that Liberals don't want the DC success in their cities as it proves their blatent ineptitude.

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