South Point April Promotion

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

I've found that room to be pretty nitty the last few times I've played. That said, the overall play can be shockingly poor at times, given the amount of time so many of these people obviously spend there (they should give South Point as their address; after all, it's where most of them eat and sleep). What I find irritating is that many of these nits will play AA or KK without raising preflop, or betting postflop, in the hope of hitting a high hand. Then there are the players who need to collect 150 hours' worth of dust to get into some freeroll or the other. What a life. Yecch.

 

One thing that bothers me a lot more than it probably bothers you is that the collective political climate is several degrees to the right of Attila the Hun. I got SOOOOO sick of Joe Biden burned my toast blah blah blah diatribes, I finally told one particular bloviator to please STFU. Then the gang turned on me (I obviously had to be a bleeding heart liberal to want to play poker instead of listening to a drunken speech about Hunter Biden's space alien laptop).

 

There's also a "one set of rules for regulars and another for tourists" mentality, which I hasten to add that the floor doesn't always adhere to, but the regs sure expect it. And should a foul turista win a few hundred and walk away to join his wife at the buffet? BOY, do the degen regs get steamed when that happens! Likewise if one reg gets clipped for a couple of stacks by a tourist, who then proceed to give it all and then some to some other player. The reg who lost to the tourist will be kicking the family dog for a week. Look out, Barky!


Most of that is absolutely true!  I hate the 3 quarterly free-roll as that really sucks the promo $s out of the room.  

 

And yes, try raising in a 3/6 game from like 9am to 2pm.......they think you are nuts!

Originally posted by: Kevin Lewis

I meant in toto. Your mean (not median) result should be (-0.27+0.something something) x (your coin-in). As long as 0.something something is greater than 0.27, you have a positive expectation (when excluding cashback). I was going to estimate how many standard deviations your result was from the mean. We've all spent some time on the left side of the bell curve, but I was curious as to how far you are for this month.

 

FWIW, I'm guessing you're about 2 SD to the left. Maybe someone with better computational skills than I could say more accurately. If I'm right, that would put you in the "shittiest 5%" results category. Been there, done that, unfortunately.

 

One reason to consider your results as a whole, i.e., including the promotion, is that the EV of the promotion is unknown. Also, as far as that goes, isn't NSUD at SP inherently +0.07%? I mean, it doesn't make sense to not include the cashback when figuring expectation, right? You should have scored $475 in cashback, which pretty much negates your expected loss--makes sense for a net EV of 100.07%.

 

I based my thumbnail calculation on an assumption that breaking even would have been a -1 SD result. Again, I'm sure my estimate is off by at least a little. Can't really tell without knowing what the actual EV of the promo is and the amount of your loss.


100.03 actually but lets not get technical.  99.73+.30 slot club

Originally posted by: Jerry Ice 33

100.03 actually but lets not get technical.  99.73+.30 slot club


Funny, that felt wrong when I wrote it but I didn't fix it. Yeah, 100.03%.

Results for Friday 4/21:

Earned 85.00 for a .43% return.


Originally posted by: Don the Dentist

Results for Friday 4/21:

Earned 85.00 for a .43% return.


Only three more shots! Hit the gas pedal!

Monday's (4/24) results:

Earned $105 for a .53% return. 

 

Wednesday's results:

Earned $150 for a .76% return.

 

Will post the final results for the month after Friday's play.

Originally posted by: Don the Dentist

Wednesday's results:

Earned $150 for a .76% return.

 

Will post the final results for the month after Friday's play.


It's three royals in a day time!

Final results for the month:

 

Total days played =12

Total coin-in (2 players) = $237,600

Total free play and points = $1,405

Total % return for April = .59%

 

The lowest total for the 3 daily spins was $27.50 and $135.00 was the highest.

 

The actual total coin-in for month was higher since we always played a little more to get at least 10,000 points each day. That number seems to be the "trigger point" to get good mailers.

 

Now onto the May promo for Walmart and Chevron cards.

 

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