I think the new Hard Rock is going to have a rough go of it. They are used to operating in markets with no or little competition. At their flagship Hollywood, Florida property, they are getting $400 + night on weekday stays.
I don't think the tribal management/ownership model holds up well in Vegas and I don't think the management has a good understanding of how Vegas works.
They aren't going to get $400 a night bookings at the Mirage on weekdays especially considering how many other 5 star properties are in that area of the strip. So how is the business model going to work if they can't count on that revenue from the rooms? I don't think they have the answer to that question and that is the problem regardless if you are talking about Virgin, Hard Rock or the Palms.